Monaco v Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Monaco v Olympique Marseille
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Olympique Marseille at 40.3% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Monaco
X
2 · Olympique Marseille
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
40.3%
26.0%
33.7%
Home win · Monaco
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
39.8%
19.9%
40.3%
Away win · Olympique Marseille
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Olympique Marseille
✘ Missed
Final score
2:0
Home win · Monaco
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.22 on a Monaco win, 3.60 on the draw and 3.08 on a Olympique Marseille win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Monaco win
2.22
2.281xBet
45%
39.8%
Draw
3.60
3.721xBet
27.8%
19.9%
Olympique Marseille win
3.08
3.251xBet
32.5%
40.3%
Over 2.5 goals
1.60
1.661xBet
62.5%
67.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.35
2.45Unibet
42.6%
32.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.48
1.51Superbet
67.6%
63.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.52
2.63Betfair
39.7%
36.9%
Updated: 30.08.2026 16:10 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Monaco v Olympique Marseille
13′⚽P. Brunner · Goal (assist: A. Golovin)
42′🟨D. Zakaria · Yellow card
43′🟨L. Camara · Yellow card
46′🔄H. Abdelli · Substitution (off: T. Nnadi)
46′🔄Q. Timber · Substitution (off: K. Abdallah)
54′⚽P. Brunner · Goal (assist: E. Dier)
59′🔄G. Kondogbia · Substitution (off: N. Aguerd)
74′🔄T. Nnadi · Substitution (off: N. Maupay)
82′🔄A. Golovin · Substitution (off: M. Abline)
82′🔄M. Coulibaly · Substitution (off: A. Soubeir)
82′🔄P. Brunner · Substitution (off: M. Biereth)
85′🔄S. Idumbo · Substitution (off: M. Detourbet)
85′🔄A. Gomes · Substitution (off: F. Moumbagna)
89′🟨Nazinho · Yellow card
90+2′🟨L. Hradecky · Yellow card
Match statistics: Monaco v Olympique Marseille
Statistic
Monaco
Olympique Marseille
Possession
35%
65%
Shots on target
5
3
Total shots
11
13
Shots off target
4
6
Blocked shots
2
4
Corners
5
6
Fouls
9
10
Offsides
3
1
Yellow cards
4
0
Saves
2
3
Passes
354
647
Pass accuracy
87%
91%
Line-ups: Monaco v Olympique Marseille
Monaco 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Lukáš Hrádecký 6.9
2 Vanderson 8.3
6 Denis Zakaria 6.7
8 Lamine Camara 7.7
10 Aleksandr Golovin 7.2
15 Eric Dier 7.3
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo 7.5
20 Nazinho 6.6
28 Mamadou Coulibaly 7.3
29 Paris Brunner 9.2
72 Sadibou Sané 7.2
Substitutes (9)
4 Jordan Teze
5 Thilo Kehrer
7 Mathys Detourbet 6.7
11 Matthis Abline 6.9
13 Christian Mawissa
14 Mika Biereth 6.3
16 Philipp Köhn
46 Anis Soubeir 6.3
47 Safouane Benzahra
Olympique Marseille 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley 6.9
7 Angel Gomes 6.5
8 Himad Abdelli 6.7
9 Amine Gouiri 6.2
12 Jeffrey De Lange 7.2
19 Geoffrey Kondogbia 6.2
22 Timothy Weah 7.2
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 6.9
27 Quinten Timber 6.2
33 Emerson 6.6
77 Amine Harit 6.6
Substitutes (9)
6 Tochukwu Nnadi 6.6
11 Neal Maupay 6.2
13 Derek Cornelius
21 Nayef Aguerd 7.0
25 Ulisses Garcia
29 Faris Moumbagna 6.2
43 Tadjidine Mmadi
48 Keyliane Abdallah 6.7
92 Théo Vermot
Form and head-to-head: Monaco v Olympique Marseille
