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Mozambique v Sudan

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Mozambique
4:1
Full time
Sudan

Mozambique v Sudan in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mozambique v Sudan

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mozambique at 41.6% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Mozambique X 2 · Sudan Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.9% 29.3% 31.8% Home win · Mozambique ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.6% 25.7% 32.8% Home win · Mozambique ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Sudan ✘ Missed
Final score 4:1 Home win · Mozambique
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.91 on a Mozambique win, 2.90 on the draw and 4.36 on a Sudan win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mozambique win 1.91 1.95 Betano 52.4% 41.6%
Draw 2.90 3.04 Marathonbet 34.5% 25.7%
Sudan win 4.36 4.78 Pinnacle 22.9% 32.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.82 2.93 Pinnacle 35.5% 56.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.37 1.40 Bet365 73% 43.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.40 2.50 Bet365 41.7% 54.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.51 1.53 William Hill 66.2% 45.8%
Updated: 29.09.2026 13:30 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mozambique v Sudan

  1. 23′Gildo Vilanculos · Substitution (off: Cândido Osvaldo Mathe)
  2. 24′Witiness Quembo · Goal (assist: Ricardo Martins Guimarães)
  3. 45′Bheu Januário · Substitution (off: Oscar Cherene)
  4. 45′Faisal Bangal · Substitution (off: Chamito Alfandega)
  5. 46′Chamito Alfandega · Goal
  6. 50′Alfonso Amade · Yellow card
  7. 54′Ahmed Yousif Tabanja · Yellow card
  8. 58′Ricardo Martins Guimarães · Goal (assist: Cândido Osvaldo Mathe)
  9. 62′Chamito Alfandega · Goal
  10. 64′Mohamed Eisa · Substitution (off: John Mano)
  11. 64′Aamir Abdallah Yunis · Substitution (off: Yasir Mozamil)
  12. 66′Witiness Quembo · Substitution (off: Edson Joelder Lobo Mucuana)
  13. 72′Ricardo Martins Guimarães · Yellow card
  14. 73′Musa Hussein Ali · Substitution (off: Ahmed Hamid)
  15. 73′Walieldin Khidir · Substitution (off: Salaheldin Adil Ahmed Alhassan)
  16. 75′Alfonso Amade · Substitution (off: Feliciano Jone)
  17. 77′Abdelrazig Omer · Substitution (off: Yasin Hamed)
  18. 80′Ammar Kamaleldin Taifour · Yellow card
  19. 88′Yasin Hamed · Penalty

Match statistics: Mozambique v Sudan

Statistic Mozambique Sudan
Possession 65% 35%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 12 10
Shots off target 6 5
Blocked shots 1 1
Corners 4 6
Fouls 12 9
Offsides 3 4
Yellow cards 2 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 1
Passes 594 318

Line-ups: Mozambique v Sudan

Mozambique 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 Bruno Langa 6.5
  2. 8 Edmilson Dove 6.6
  3. 10 Geny Catamo 6.3
  4. 15 Bruno Wilson 7.2
  5. 16 A. Amade 6.7
  6. 18 Gildo Lourenço 6.0
  7. 19 Witi 7.3
  8. 21 Guima 8.5
Substitutes (5)
  1. 4 Fernando Data Chamboco
  2. 6 Manuel Kambala
  3. 11 Edson Mucuana 6.2
  4. 12 Kimiss
  5. 23 Chamito 8.1

Sudan 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 10 Aamir Yunis Abdallah 6.4
  2. 20 M. Eisa 6.2
  3. 25 S. Barglan 6.3

Form and head-to-head: Mozambique v Sudan

Mozambique

DLLLL

Sudan

WLLWL

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Malawi 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
3 Angola 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Managers: Mozambique v Sudan

C. Conde
MozambiqueManagerC. CondeMozambique
K. Appiah
SudanManagerK. Appiah

Match information: Mozambique v Sudan

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2