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Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
Full time
Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia in J1 League ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Machida Zelvia at 63.0% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Nagoya Grampus X 2 · Machida Zelvia Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 41.1% 25.1% 33.8% Home win · Nagoya Grampus ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 19.4% 17.6% 63.0% Away win · Machida Zelvia ✔ Correct
Data Providers 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% Away win · Machida Zelvia ✔ Correct
Final score 1:3 Away win · Machida Zelvia
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.18 on a Nagoya Grampus win, 3.40 on the draw and 2.20 on a Machida Zelvia win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Nagoya Grampus win 3.18 3.25 Bet365 31.4% 19.4%
Draw 3.40 3.58 Pinnacle 29.4% 17.6%
Machida Zelvia win 2.20 2.27 Pinnacle 45.5% 63%
Over 2.5 goals 1.83 1.86 Pinnacle 54.6% 57.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.96 2.04 Pinnacle 51% 42.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.65 1.67 William Hill 60.6% 52.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.11 2.13 1xBet 47.4% 47.8%
Updated: 06.09.2026 04:50 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

  1. 23′Yuya Asano · Substitution (off: Yuya Yamagishi)
  2. 36′Daihachi Okamura · Substitution (off: Henry Heroki Mochizuki)
  3. 43′Ryuji Izumi · Yellow card
  4. 45+7′Ryohei Shirasaki · Goal
  5. 45′Yuki Nogami · Substitution (off: Teruki Hara)
  6. 46′Takahiro Akimoto · Yellow card
  7. 55′Henry Heroki Mochizuki · Own goal
  8. 65′Kensuke Nagai · Substitution (off: Tomoya Koyamatsu)
  9. 66′Ryohei Shirasaki · Substitution (off: Hokuto Shimoda)
  10. 66′Takuma Nishimura · Substitution (off: Tete Yengi)
  11. 70′Ryuji Izumi · Substitution (off: Yota Sato)
  12. 75′Alexandre Kouto Horio Pisano · Own goal
  13. 85′Tomoki Takamine · Yellow card
  14. 85′Yuki Soma · Substitution (off: Yusuke Matsuo)
  15. 86′Koki Ogawa · Substitution (off: Mitchell Duke)
  16. 90+7′Yusuke Matsuo · Goal

Match statistics: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

Statistic Nagoya Grampus Machida Zelvia
Possession 61% 39%
Shots on target 1 5
Total shots 12 12
Shots off target 4 5
Blocked shots 7 2
Corners 6 2
Fouls 11 15
Offsides 2 1
Yellow cards 2 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 1
Passes 485 318

Line-ups: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Y. Nogami 5.9
  2. 7 R. Izumi 6.2
  3. 9 Y. Asano 5.5
  4. 13 H. Fujii 6.8
  5. 15 S. Inagaki 6.3
  6. 18 K. Nagai 6.4
  7. 22 Y. Kimura 5.6
  8. 27 K. Nakayama 6.1
  9. 31 T. Takamine 6.5
  10. 35 A. Pisano 5.9
  11. 55 S. Tokumoto 5.8
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 D. Schmidt
  2. 3 Y. Sato 6.5
  3. 11 Y. Yamagishi 6.1
  4. 14 T. Morishima
  5. 19 H. Koda
  6. 33 T. Kikuchi
  7. 41 M. Ono
  8. 58 T. Koyamatsu 5.7
  9. 70 T. Hara 5.6

Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 K. Tani 6.4
  2. 3 G. Shōji 6.9
  3. 4 R. Kikuchi 6.6
  4. 7 Y. Soma 6.4
  5. 9 Koki Ogawa 6.2
  6. 16 H. Mae 6.7
  7. 20 T. Nishimura 6.2
  8. 23 R. Shirasaki 8.0
  9. 33 T. Akimoto 6.0
  10. 50 D. Okamura 6.1
  11. 88 H. Nakamura 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 I. Drešević
  2. 6 H. Mochizuki 7.5
  3. 8 K. Sento
  4. 13 T. Morita
  5. 14 Y. Matsuo 7.1
  6. 15 M. Duke 6.5
  7. 18 H. Shimoda 6.3
  8. 24 Kim Min-Tae
  9. 99 T. Yengi 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus

LLWLW
  • AV-varen Nagasaki0–2L
  • ASanfrecce Hiroshima0–3L
  • HFagiano Okayama2–1W
  • HGainare Tottori1–3L
  • HGamba Osaka3–1W

Machida Zelvia

DWDWW
  • HYokohama F. Marinos1–1D
  • HKawasaki Frontale2–1W
  • AMito Hollyhock1–1D
  • HGrulla Morioka3–0W
  • HUrawa3–1W

J1 League standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Machida Zelvia 7 5 2 0 +13 17 DWWDW
2 Vissel Kobe 7 5 1 1 +6 16 WWWWL
3 Kashiwa Reysol 7 5 0 2 +3 15 WLLWW
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 4 2 1 +13 14 WLWDD
5 FC Tokyo 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWDWW
6 Fagiano Okayama 7 4 1 2 +2 13 WWWLD
7 Kawasaki Frontale 7 3 3 1 +4 12 WWLWD
8 Kashima 7 4 0 3 +1 12 LLLWW
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 7 3 2 2 +2 11 DWDLW
10 Cerezo Osaka 7 3 1 3 -5 10 LDWLW
11 Mito Hollyhock 7 2 3 2 +2 9 LDWDW
12 Urawa 7 3 0 4 -4 9 LWWWL
13 Shimizu S-pulse 7 2 1 4 -3 7 WLDLL
14 V-varen Nagasaki 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLDLL
15 Gamba Osaka 7 1 3 3 -5 6 LLDDL
16 Nagoya Grampus 7 2 0 5 -6 6 LLLWW
17 Kyoto Sanga 7 1 2 4 -5 5 LLDWL
18 Avispa Fukuoka 7 1 1 5 -2 4 LDLLL
19 Tokyo Verdy 7 0 4 3 -6 4 DDLLD
20 JEF United Chiba 7 1 1 5 -10 4 DWLLL

Managers: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

Go Kuroda
Machida ZelviaManagerGo Kuroda

Match information: Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia

Kick-off
·
Competition
J1 League
Round
Regular Season – 6
Venue
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Surface
grass
Capacity
45,000