Napoli v Bologna in Italian Serie A ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Napoli v Bologna
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Napoli at 57.3% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Napoli
X
2 · Bologna
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
41.7%
28.4%
29.8%
Home win · Napoli
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
57.3%
20.7%
22.0%
Home win · Napoli
✔ Correct
Final score
1:0
Home win · Napoli
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.79 on a Napoli win, 3.58 on the draw and 4.73 on a Bologna win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Napoli win
1.79
1.841xBet
55.9%
57.3%
Draw
3.58
3.721xBet
27.9%
20.7%
Bologna win
4.73
5.00Bet365
21.1%
22%
Over 2.5 goals
2.09
2.161xBet
47.8%
58.8%
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
1.811xBet
57.1%
41.2%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.92
1.95Bet365
52.1%
55.2%
Both teams to score - No
1.81
1.85William Hill
55.2%
44.8%
Updated: 11.09.2026 05:34 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Napoli v Bologna
31′🟨M. Amondarain · Yellow card
46′🔄A. Vergara · Substitution (off: N. Lang)
46′🔄M. Politano · Substitution (off: C. Favasuli)
58′🔄T. Pobega · Substitution (off: M. Libra)
58′🔄R. Piccoli · Substitution (off: J. Odgaard)
66′🔄M. Amondarain · Substitution (off: N. Moro)
66′⚽S. Lobotka · Goal (assist: C. Favasuli)
75′🔄R. Hojlund · Substitution (off: L. Lucca)
82′🔄N. Cambiaghi · Substitution (off: S. Mbangula)