Netherlands v Sweden

World Cup

Netherlands v Sweden in World Cup ended 5:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Netherlands v Sweden

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Netherlands at 48.1% - the match finished 5:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Netherlands X 2 · Sweden Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 65.7% 20.6% 13.7% Home win · Netherlands ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 48.1% 20.3% 31.7% Home win · Netherlands ✔ Correct
Final score 5:1 Home win · Netherlands
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)
1 - home50.6%
X - draw23.5%
2 - away26.0%
Double chance
1X - home/draw74.1%
12 - no draw76.6%
X2 - away/draw49.5%
Both teams to score
Yes57.8%
No42.3%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5
Over 1.579.4%
Under 1.520.6%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.534.6%
Under 3.565.5%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.520.6%
Under 4.579.5%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5
Over 0.580.3%
Under 0.519.8%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.551.1%
Under 1.548.9%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.525.4%
Under 2.574.6%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.510.3%
Under 3.589.8%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5
Over 0.562.8%
Under 0.537.2%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.530.6%
Under 1.569.4%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.511.2%
Under 2.588.8%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.53.4%
Under 3.596.6%

Correct score

Most likely correct score
1:110.9%
2:19.6%
1:09.2%
2:08.1%

Match events: Netherlands v Sweden

  1. 5′Brian Brobbey · Goal (assist: Cody Gakpo)
  2. 17′Brian Brobbey · Goal (assist: Denzel Dumfries)
  3. 46′Crysencio Summerville · Substitution (off: Donyell Malen)
  4. 47′Cody Gakpo · Goal (assist: Denzel Dumfries)
  5. 53′Gabriel Gudmundsson · Yellow card
  6. 54′Cody Gakpo · Goal (assist: Crysencio Summerville)
  7. 55′Anthony Elanga · Substitution (off: Alexander Bernhardsson)
  8. 56′Lucas Bergvall · Substitution (off: Benjamin Nygren)
  9. 56′Besfort Zeneli · Substitution (off: Jesper Karlström)
  10. 59′Anthony Elanga · Goal (assist: Alexander Isak)
  11. 59′Teun Koopmeiners · Substitution (off: Frenkie de Jong)
  12. 59′Guus Til · Substitution (off: Tijjani Reijnders)
  13. 72′Memphis Depay · Substitution (off: Brian Brobbey)
  14. 75′Yasin Ayari · Yellow card
  15. 79′Taha Ali · Substitution (off: Yasin Ayari)
  16. 80′Lucas Bergvall · Yellow card
  17. 89′Crysencio Summerville · Goal (assist: Memphis Depay)
  18. 90′Noa Lang · Substitution (off: Cody Gakpo)
  19. 90+3′Elliot Stroud · Substitution (off: Gabriel Gudmundsson)

Match statistics: Netherlands v Sweden

Statistic Netherlands Sweden
Possession 51% 49%
Shots on target 7 8
Total shots 10 16
Shots off target 2 5
Blocked shots 7 2
Corners 5 1
Fouls 9 12
Offsides 3 3
Yellow cards 11 11
Red cards 10 19
Saves 1 0
Passes 449 425
Pass accuracy 89% 85%

Line-ups: Netherlands v Sweden

Netherlands 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Bart Verbruggen 7.8
  2. 4 Virgil van Dijk 6.8
  3. 6 Jan Paul van Hecke 6.9
  4. 8 Ryan Gravenberch 6.7
  5. 11 Cody Gakpo 9.0
  6. 14 Tijjani Reijnders 6.3
  7. 15 Micky van de Ven 6.7
  8. 18 Donyell Malen 6.6
  9. 19 Brian Brobbey 8.5
  10. 21 Frenkie de Jong 7.0
  11. 22 Denzel Dumfries 8.0
Substitutes (14)
  1. 2 Lutsharel Geertruida
  2. 3 Marten de Roon
  3. 5 Nathan Aké
  4. 7 Justin Kluivert
  5. 9 Wout Weghorst
  6. 10 Memphis Depay 6.6
  7. 12 Mats Wieffer
  8. 13 Robin Roefs
  9. 16 Guus Til 6.5
  10. 17 Noa Lang
  11. 20 Teun Koopmeiners 6.6
  12. 23 Mark Flekken
  13. 24 Crysencio Summerville 7.9
  14. 25 Jorrel Hato

Sweden 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 2 Gustaf Lagerbielke 6.6
  2. 3 Victor Lindelöf 6.0
  3. 4 Isak Hien 6.1
  4. 5 Gabriel Gudmundsson 6.0
  5. 9 Alexander Isak 7.9
  6. 10 Benjamin Nygren 6.0
  7. 16 Jesper Karlström 6.5
  8. 17 Viktor Gyökeres 7.5
  9. 18 Yasin Ayari 6.4
  10. 21 Alexander Bernhardsson 6.3
  11. 23 Kristoffer Nordfeldt 5.6
Substitutes (15)
  1. 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström
  2. 6 Herman Johansson
  3. 7 Lucas Bergvall 6.5
  4. 8 Daniel Svensson
  5. 11 Anthony Elanga 7.3
  6. 12 Viktor Johansson
  7. 13 Ken Sema
  8. 14 Hjalmar Ekdal
  9. 15 Carl Starfelt
  10. 19 Mattias Svanberg
  11. 20 Eric Smith
  12. 22 Besfort Zeneli 6.6
  13. 24 Elliot Stroud 6.6
  14. 25 Gustaf Nilsson
  15. 26 Taha Ali 6.7

Form and head-to-head: Netherlands v Sweden

Netherlands

DWDWL

Sweden

LDWDL

World Cup standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Managers: Netherlands v Sweden

R. Koeman
NetherlandsManagerR. Koeman
G. Potter
SwedenManagerG. Potter

Match information: Netherlands v Sweden

Kick-off
·
Competition
World Cup
Round
2
Venue
NRG Stadium
City
Houston
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
72,220

TV coverage: Netherlands v Sweden

Where to watch in Bulgaria

4 broadcasts licensed for Bulgaria

  • BNT 1
  • BNT 3
  • BNT News App
  • bnt.bg

Live commentary: Netherlands v Sweden

Live commentary will appear here as the match unfolds.