Ogre United v Liepāja in Virsliga ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Ogre United v Liepāja
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Liepāja at 69.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Ogre United
X
2 · Liepāja
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
43.0%
27.1%
29.9%
Home win · Ogre United
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
17.5%
12.9%
69.7%
Away win · Liepāja
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Liepāja
✘ Missed
Final score
2:2
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 5.32 on a Ogre United win, 4.30 on the draw and 1.49 on a Liepāja win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Ogre United win
5.32
5.321xBet
18.8%
17.5%
Draw
4.30
4.301xBet
23.3%
12.9%
Liepāja win
1.49
1.491xBet
67.1%
69.7%
Updated: 07.09.2026 10:57 · Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Ogre United v Liepāja
3′🟨R. Sibass · Yellow card
15′🟨C. Torres · Yellow card
29′🔄V. Isajevs · Substitution (off: M. Martins)
38′⚽L. Estevez Fernandez · Goal (assist: A. Doroshenko)
46′🔄B. Melnis · Substitution (off: Crysthyan)
46′🟨V. Sorokins · Yellow card
46′🔄A. Haidara · Substitution (off: B. Almazbekov)
46′🔄Talisca · Substitution (off: K. Iljins)
50′⚽R. Sibass · Goal
60′🟨K. Cudars · Yellow card
62′🔄J. Grinbergs · Substitution (off: A. Molotkovs)
67′🟨E. Rodolphe · Yellow card
68′🔄J. Fokam · Substitution (off: I. Pulis)
69′🔄E. Rodolphe · Substitution (off: D. Patijcuks)
76′🔄K. Cudars · Substitution (off: A. Marchuk)
76′🔄A. Doroshenko · Substitution (off: R. Ziemelis)
