Paide v Vaprus

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Start time 16:00

When and where is Paide v Vaprus in Meistriliiga Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Paide v Vaprus

What the models say

2 of 2 models lean towards Home win · Paide (average probability 48.4%).

Model	1 · Paide	X	2 · Vaprus	Pick
ELO + Poisson	50.4%	24.4%	25.2%	Home win · Paide
Pro AI (XGBoost)	46.4%	21.9%	31.7%	Home win · Paide
Consensus	48.4%	23.1%	28.4%	Home win · Paide

Model probabilities are for information purposes only - they do not constitute betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.61 on a Paide win, 4.00 on the draw and 4.53 on a Vaprus win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Paide win	1.61	1.61 1xBet	62.1%	46.4%
Draw	4.00	4.00 1xBet	25%	21.9%
Vaprus win	4.53	4.53 1xBet	22.1%	31.7%

Updated: 11.09.2026 23:40 · Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Paide v Vaprus

Paide

LWLWL

13 Sep 2026HLaagri1–2L
9 Sep 2026ATammeka2–0W
6 Sep 2026HFC Levadia Tallinn0–2L
30 Aug 2026AFlora Tallinn2–1W
26 Aug 2026AFC Levadia Tallinn1–4L

Vaprus

LWWLD

12 Sep 2026AFC Levadia Tallinn0–4L
9 Sep 2026HLaagri3–2W
5 Sep 2026HNõmme United1–0W
2 Sep 2026ANõmme United2–3L
29 Aug 2026AKuressaare2–2D

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Paide wins: 1; draws: 0; Vaprus wins: 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
4 Jul 2026	Paide	3–1	Vaprus	Meistriliiga
7 Mar 2026	Vaprus	3–2	Paide	Meistriliiga

Meistriliiga standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	25	19	5	1	+46	62	WWWWW
2	Flora Tallinn	26	16	0	10	+18	48	WWLLW
3	Kalju Nomme	26	13	5	8	+22	44	LLLWW
4	Paide	25	12	6	7	+7	42	LWWDW
5	Tammeka	25	13	2	10	-2	41	WLWWW
6	Laagri	26	10	1	15	-7	31	LWWLL
7	Vaprus	25	9	4	12	-12	31	WDLLD
8	Kuressaare	26	8	4	14	-12	28	WDLWW
9	Nõmme United	26	8	1	17	-19	25	LLLLL
10	Trans Narva	26	5	2	19	-41	17	LLLDL

Match information: Paide v Vaprus

Kick-off: Wed 16 Sep · 16:00
Competition: Meistriliiga
Round: Regular Season – 22
Venue: Paide linnastaadion
City: Paide
Surface: grass
Capacity: 1,000