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Paredes v Fafe

Portuguese Liga 3
Paredes
2:1
Full time
Fafe

Paredes v Fafe in Portuguese Liga 3 ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Paredes v Fafe

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Paredes at 39.7% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Paredes X 2 · Fafe Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 44.3% 27.8% 27.9% Home win · Paredes ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 39.7% 25.8% 34.5% Home win · Paredes ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Fafe ✘ Missed
Final score 2:1 Home win · Paredes
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.27 on a Paredes win, 3.10 on the draw and 2.91 on a Fafe win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Paredes win 2.27 2.28 1xBet 44.1% 39.7%
Draw 3.10 3.10 Marathonbet 32.3% 25.8%
Fafe win 2.91 2.94 1xBet 34.4% 34.5%
Over 2.5 goals 2.10 2.10 Marathonbet 47.6% 45.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.64 1.64 Marathonbet 61% 54.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.82 1.82 Marathonbet 54.9% 49.6%
Both teams to score - No 1.84 1.85 1xBet 54.3% 50.4%
Updated: 11.09.2026 11:36 · Average odds across 2 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Paredes v Fafe

  1. 10′Sequeira · Substitution (off: Breno)
  2. 15′F. Almara · Goal (assist: Gustavo Fernandes)
  3. 23′O. Ribeiro · Yellow card
  4. 39′Miguel · Yellow card
  5. 45+1′J. Batista · Yellow card
  6. 59′D. Rodrigues · Substitution (off: F. Canario)
  7. 59′D. Carvalho · Substitution (off: P. Otumba)
  8. 69′M. Correia · Yellow card
  9. 71′D. Carvalho · Substitution (off: P. Pereira)
  10. 71′J. Batista · Substitution (off: Mimito)
  11. 71′O. Ribeiro · Substitution (off: Rafael Martins)
  12. 74′Erik · Substitution (off: Ruca)
  13. 76′T. Veiga · Goal
  14. 82′F. Almara · Substitution (off: J. Yuk)
  15. 84′F. Canario · Goal
  16. 85′ · Yellow card
  17. 87′L. Teixeira · Red card

Form and head-to-head: Paredes v Fafe

Paredes

WWLWW
  • AVarzim1–0W
  • AErmesinde3–1W
  • HLeça1–2L
  • APacos Ferreira1–0W
  • HGuimaraes B3–1W

Fafe

WWDWD
  • ALeça3–0W
  • APacos Ferreira1–0W
  • HGuimaraes B1–1D
  • ASão João Ver3–1W
  • HVianense0–0D

Portuguese Liga 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Varzim 3 3 0 0 +5 9 WWW
1 CF Os Belenenses 3 3 0 0 +8 9 WWW
2 Paredes 3 2 0 1 +2 6 LWW
2 Atlético CP 3 2 1 0 +4 7 WDW
3 AD Marco 09 3 2 0 1 +2 6 WLW
3 Oliveirense 3 1 2 0 +1 5 WDD
4 Fafe 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
4 Lusitano Évora 1911 3 1 1 1 0 4 WDL
5 Guimaraes B 3 1 1 1 0 4 DWL
5 Louletano 3 1 1 1 0 4 WLD
6 Vianense 3 1 1 1 0 4 LWD
6 SC Covilha 3 1 1 1 -1 4 LDW
7 Leça 3 1 1 1 -1 4 WLD
7 Mafra 3 1 1 1 +4 4 LDW
8 Trofense 3 1 0 2 -2 3 WLL
8 Caldas 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LDL
9 São João Ver 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LLD
9 Vitória de Sernache 3 0 1 2 -6 1 LDL
10 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 0 3 -5 0 LLL
10 União Santarém 3 0 1 2 -7 1 LDL

Match information: Paredes v Fafe

Kick-off
·
Competition
Portuguese Liga 3
Round
Regular Season – 5