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Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

DFB Cup
Phönix Lübeck
2:4
Full time
Paderborn

Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn in DFB Cup ended 2:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Phönix Lübeck at 56.3% - the match finished 2:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Phönix Lübeck X 2 · Paderborn Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 2.6% 8.3% 89.2% Away win · Paderborn ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.3% 19.3% 24.4% Home win · Phönix Lübeck ✘ Missed
Final score 2:4 Away win · Paderborn
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 14.00 on a Phönix Lübeck win, 8.41 on the draw and 1.14 on a Paderborn win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Phönix Lübeck win 14.00 18.00 Unibet 7.1% 56.3%
Draw 8.41 10.50 Unibet 11.9% 19.3%
Paderborn win 1.14 1.16 Dafabet 87.7% 24.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.16 1.19 Betano 86.2% 57%
Under 2.5 goals 4.55 5.00 Betfair 22% 43%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.61 1.75 Unibet 62.1% 50.4%
Both teams to score - No 2.21 2.38 Betfair 45.2% 49.6%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

  1. 22′J. ter Horst · Goal (assist: M. Hansen)
  2. 36′R. Obermair · Yellow card
  3. 41′S. Castaneda · Goal (assist: L. Ulrich)
  4. 43′M. Kretzer · Goal

Match statistics: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

Statistic Phönix Lübeck Paderborn
Possession 33% 67%
Shots on target 3 5
Total shots 5 9
Shots off target 1 2
Blocked shots 1 2
Corners 2 4
Fouls 4 5
Offsides 2 1
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 4 2
Passes 142 279
Pass accuracy 73% 89%

Line-ups: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

Phönix Lübeck 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Tim Kips 6.3
  2. 3 Jannes Vollert 6.5
  3. 8 Fabio Maiolo 6.2
  4. 10 Jonathan Stöver 6.7
  5. 11 Anton Ihde 6.2
  6. 28 Jannis Farr 6.7
  7. 30 Daniel Haritonov 6.0
Substitutes (6)
  1. 6 Michel Dammeier
  2. 7 Julius Kliti
  3. 13 Julian Markvoort Beke
  4. 17 Miguel Fernandes
  5. 32 Christopher Barkmann
  6. 80 Ousman Touray

Paderborn 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Markus Schubert 6.3
  2. 5 Santiago Castañeda 7.5
  3. 17 Laurin Curda 7.5
  4. 19 Albert Millgramm 6.0
  5. 21 Jano Ter-Horst 7.5
  6. 22 Mattes Hansen 6.9
  7. 23 Raphael Obermair 6.3
  8. 25 Tjark Lasse Scheller 6.9
  9. 28 Laurin Ulrich 7.3
  10. 30 Stefano Marino 6.6
  11. 40 Gabriel Vidović 6.0
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 Jonah Sticker
  2. 6 Tom Baack
  3. 7 Oliver Batista Meier
  4. 8 Luka Duric
  5. 15 Nahuel Noll
  6. 24 Niklas Mohr
  7. 27 Steffen Tigges
  8. 29 Clemens Lippmann
  9. 38 Deniz Zeitler

Form and head-to-head: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

Phönix Lübeck

WWWDW
  • AEimsbütteler TV3–1W
  • AWerder Bremen II2–0W
  • AHSC Hannover3–0W
  • ASt. Pauli II2–2D
  • HVfB Lübeck4–0W

Paderborn

LLD

DFB Pokal standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

D. Adigo
Phönix LübeckManagerD. Adigo
R. Kettemann
PaderbornManagerR. Kettemann

Match information: Phönix Lübeck v Paderborn

Kick-off
·
Competition
DFB Cup
Round
Round of 64