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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań

I Liga
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1:0
Full time
Warta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań in I Liga ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 47.7% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki X 2 · Warta Poznań Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.4% 27.2% 27.4% Home win · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 47.7% 24.5% 27.7% Home win · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.52 on a Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win, 3.42 on the draw and 2.43 on a Warta Poznań win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win 2.52 2.71 Pinnacle 39.7% 47.7%
Draw 3.42 3.64 Pinnacle 29.2% 24.5%
Warta Poznań win 2.43 2.77 Superbet 41.2% 27.7%
Over 2.5 goals 1.63 1.68 Pinnacle 61.3% 57.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.15 2.21 Pinnacle 46.5% 42.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.52 1.57 Betfair 65.8% 54.7%
Both teams to score - No 2.35 2.40 Unibet 42.6% 45.3%
Updated: 04.09.2026 16:40 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań

  1. 37′A. Wolczek · Yellow card
  2. 51′A. Wolczek · Substitution (off: P. Kusztal)
  3. 52′H. Uzoigwe · Yellow card
  4. 59′J. Niewiadomski · Yellow card
  5. 60′N. Niski · Yellow card
  6. 71′H. Uzoigwe · Substitution (off: M. Ruszkiewicz)
  7. 71′N. Niski · Substitution (off: J. Jedrasik)
  8. 71′R. Majewski · Substitution (off: D. Jaron)
  9. 72′K. Lysiak · Yellow card
  10. 76′D. Jaron · Goal (assist: B. Ciepiela)
  11. 78′J. Apolinarski · Substitution (off: K. Rychert)
  12. 78′J. Kendzia · Substitution (off: K. Wybieralski)
  13. 86′J. Zbrog · Substitution (off: J. Konstantyn)
  14. 90′B. Ciepiela · Substitution (off: H. Turski)
  15. 90+2′P. Kusztal · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

LLDDD
  • AUnia Skierniewice2–3L
  • APodhale Nowy Targ1–3L
  • HNieciecza2–2D
  • APolonia Bytom2–2D
  • HStal Rzeszów1–1D

Warta Poznań

WLWLW
  • HArka Gdynia3–0W
  • AMiedz Legnica1–2L
  • AChrobry Głogów1–0W
  • AOdra Opole1–3L
  • ANieciecza2–1W

I Liga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 ŁKS Łódź 8 4 3 1 +6 15 WDDWW
2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 8 4 3 1 +5 15 LWDDD
3 Miedz Legnica 8 4 2 2 +6 14 LDWWW
4 Nieciecza 8 4 1 3 +1 13 WWDLL
5 Chrobry Głogów 8 3 3 2 +5 12 DDWLD
6 Warta Poznań 8 4 0 4 +3 12 WLLWL
7 Polonia Warszawa 8 3 2 3 +1 11 DLLWL
8 Arka Gdynia 8 3 2 3 +1 11 LDDLW
9 Ruch Chorzów 8 3 2 3 -2 11 DWLWW
10 Stal Rzeszów 8 3 2 3 -6 11 WWWLD
11 Lechia Gdansk 8 3 1 4 -4 10 WLWWL
12 Pogoń Siedlce 7 2 3 2 +1 9 DWLWD
13 Odra Opole 8 2 3 3 -1 9 LDDDW
14 Stal Mielec 8 2 3 3 -3 9 LDLLW
15 Unia Skierniewice 8 3 0 5 -5 9 WLLWL
16 Polonia Bytom 8 1 5 2 -3 8 DDDDL
17 Podbeskidzie 8 0 7 1 -2 7 DDLDD
18 Puszcza Niepołomice 7 2 0 5 -3 6 LWLLW

Match information: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Warta Poznań

Kick-off
·
Competition
I Liga
Round
Regular Season – 7