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Ponferradina v Lugo

Primera División RFEF – Group 1
Ponferradina
0:0
Full time
Lugo

Ponferradina v Lugo in Primera División RFEF – Group 1 ended 0:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Ponferradina v Lugo

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ponferradina at 41.1% - the match finished 0:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Ponferradina X 2 · Lugo Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.9% 31.1% 28.0% Home win · Ponferradina ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.1% 23.8% 35.1% Home win · Ponferradina ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Ponferradina ✘ Missed
Final score 0:0 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.94 on a Ponferradina win, 3.02 on the draw and 3.96 on a Lugo win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Ponferradina win 1.94 1.95 William Hill 51.5% 41.1%
Draw 3.02 3.13 BetVictor 33.1% 23.8%
Lugo win 3.96 4.25 Pinnacle 25.3% 35.1%
Over 2.5 goals 2.46 2.52 Pinnacle 40.7% 51.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.49 1.50 Pinnacle 67.1% 48.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.14 2.25 Bet365 46.7% 54%
Both teams to score - No 1.62 1.65 William Hill 61.7% 46%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Ponferradina v Lugo

  1. 48′S. Faye · Yellow card
  2. 58′G. Berzal · Substitution (off: M. Dauda)
  3. 64′U. Sabroso · Substitution (off: Q. Bari)
  4. 64′P. Munoz · Substitution (off: J. Chibozo)
  5. 71′K. Presa · Substitution (off: A. Costa)
  6. 71′A. Gallar · Substitution (off: A. N. Sanchez Martinez)
  7. 74′C. Calderon · Substitution (off: B. Valle)
  8. 74′A. Molina · Substitution (off: N. Tounkara)
  9. 84′S. Nieto · Substitution (off: A. Roig)
  10. 87′Chiqui · Substitution (off: A. Perera)
  11. 90+3′A. Perera · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Ponferradina v Lugo

Ponferradina

LWLDW
  • ADeportivo La Coruña II1–2L
  • AOurense CF1–0W
  • ACelta Fortuna1–4L
  • HCelta Fortuna0–0D
  • AAtlético Madrid II1–0W

Lugo

WW
  • HCD Coria1–0W
  • AUnionistas de Salamanca3–1W

Primera División RFEF – Group 1 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Real Unión 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
3 SD Logroñés 2 2 0 0 +2 6 WW
4 Lugo 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
5 Athletic Club II 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
6 Cacereño 2 1 1 0 +1 4 DW
7 Ponferradina 2 1 1 0 +1 4 DW
8 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
9 Mirandés 2 1 0 1 +1 3 WL
10 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
11 Extremadura 1924 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
12 Mérida AD 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
13 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
14 Racing Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
15 Deportivo La Coruña II 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
16 Arenas Getxo 2 0 1 1 -3 1 LD
17 Barakaldo 2 0 1 1 -3 1 LD
18 Real Avilés 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
19 Ourense CF 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
20 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL

Managers: Ponferradina v Lugo

M. Nafti
PonferradinaManagerM. Nafti
Fernandez Borja
LugoManagerFernandez Borja

Match information: Ponferradina v Lugo

Kick-off
·
Competition
Primera División RFEF – Group 1
Round
Group 1 – 2