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Portugal v Croatia

World Cup
Portugal
2:1
Full time
Croatia

Portugal v Croatia in World Cup ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Portugal v Croatia

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Portugal at 53.4% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Portugal X 2 · Croatia Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 62.0% 21.3% 16.7% Home win · Portugal ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 53.4% 18.8% 27.8% Home win · Portugal ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Portugal
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)
1 - home49.8%
X - draw23.2%
2 - away27.1%
Double chance
1X - home/draw73.0%
12 - no draw76.9%
X2 - away/draw50.3%
Both teams to score
Yes59.8%
No40.3%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5
Over 1.580.9%
Under 1.519.1%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.2%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.536.5%
Under 3.563.6%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.521.9%
Under 4.578.1%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5
Over 0.580.4%
Under 0.519.7%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.551.6%
Under 1.548.4%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.526.0%
Under 2.574.1%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.510.7%
Under 3.589.3%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5
Over 0.564.4%
Under 0.535.6%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.532.5%
Under 1.567.5%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.512.3%
Under 2.587.7%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.53.8%
Under 3.596.2%

Correct score

Most likely correct score
1:110.7%
2:19.5%
1:08.4%
2:07.6%

Match events: Portugal v Croatia

  1. 17′Rúben Dias  · Yellow card
  2. 46′Igor Matanovic · Substitution (off: Ante Budimir)
  3. 53′Ivan Perišić · Goal (assist: Josip Stanisic)
  4. 59′Luka Modrić · Yellow card
  5. 62′Bernardo Silva · Substitution (off: Vitinha)
  6. 63′Francisco Conceição · Substitution (off: Pedro Neto)
  7. 63′Gonçalo Ramos · Substitution (off: João Cancelo)
  8. 63′Nélson Semedo · Substitution (off: Bruno Fernandes)
  9. 68′Cristiano Ronaldo · Penalty
  10. 68′Mario Pašalić · Substitution (off: Martin Baturina)
  11. 81′Rúben Neves · Substitution (off: Cristiano Ronaldo)
  12. 90+4′Gonçalo Ramos · Goal (assist: Rafael Leão)
  13. 90+8′Ivan Perišić · Yellow card
  14. 90+2′Josko Gvardiol  · Substitution (off: Nikola Vlašić)
  15. 90+6′Andrej Kramarić · Substitution (off: Mateo Kovacic )

Match statistics: Portugal v Croatia

Statistic Portugal Croatia
Possession 60% 40%
Shots on target 3 6
Total shots 15 13
Shots off target 8 5
Blocked shots 5 2
Corners 2 1
Fouls 6 12
Offsides 1 4
Yellow cards 7 14
Red cards 11 11
Passes 585 370
Pass accuracy 91% 84%

Line-ups: Portugal v Croatia

Portugal 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Diogo Costa 7.3
  2. 3 Rúben Dias 7.2
  3. 7 Cristiano Ronaldo 7.1
  4. 8 Bruno Fernandes 6.4
  5. 13 Renato Veiga 7.2
  6. 15 João Neves 7.1
  7. 17 Rafael Leão 7.1
  8. 18 Pedro Neto 6.4
  9. 20 João Cancelo 7.0
  10. 23 Vitinha 7.0
  11. 25 Nuno Mendes 7.4
Substitutes (15)
  1. 2 Nélson Semedo 6.7
  2. 4 Tomás Araújo
  3. 5 Diogo Dalot
  4. 6 Matheus Nunes
  5. 9 Gonçalo Ramos 7.5
  6. 10 Bernardo Silva 6.3
  7. 11 João Félix
  8. 12 José Sá
  9. 14 Gonçalo Inácio
  10. 16 Francisco Trincão
  11. 19 Gonçalo Guedes
  12. 21 Rúben Neves 6.5
  13. 22 Rui Silva
  14. 24 Samú Costa
  15. 26 Francisco Conceição 6.6

Croatia 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Dominik Livaković 6.5
  2. 2 Josip Stanisic 6.7
  3. 3 Marin Pongračić 6.5
  4. 6 Josip Sutalo 6.5
  5. 8 Mateo Kovacic 7.1
  6. 10 Luka Modrić 6.7
  7. 11 Ante Budimir 6.7
  8. 13 Nikola Vlašić 6.6
  9. 14 Ivan Perišić 7.1
  10. 16 Martin Baturina 6.6
  11. 17 Petar Sučić 6.9
Substitutes (15)
  1. 4 Josko Gvardiol 6.4
  2. 5 Duje Caleta-Car
  3. 7 Nikola Moro
  4. 9 Andrej Kramarić 6.5
  5. 12 Ivor Pandur
  6. 15 Mario Pašalić 6.5
  7. 18 Kristijan Jakic
  8. 19 Toni Fruk
  9. 20 Igor Matanovic 6.5
  10. 21 Luka Sucic
  11. 22 Luka Vuskovic
  12. 23 Dominik Kotarski
  13. 24 Marco Pašalić
  14. 25 Martin Erlić
  15. 26 Petar Musa

Form and head-to-head: Portugal v Croatia

Portugal

LDWDW

Croatia

WWLWL

World Cup standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Managers: Portugal v Croatia

R. Martínez Montoliú
PortugalManagerR. Martínez Montoliú
Z. Dalić
CroatiaManagerZ. Dalić

Match information: Portugal v Croatia

Kick-off
·
Competition
World Cup
Venue
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,000

TV coverage: Portugal v Croatia

Where to watch in Bulgaria

4 broadcasts licensed for Bulgaria

  • BNT 1
  • BNT 3
  • BNT News App
  • bnt.bg

Live commentary: Portugal v Croatia

Live commentary will appear here as the match unfolds.