Santos v Flamengo

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Start time 22:30

When and where is Santos v Flamengo in Serie A Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Santos v Flamengo

What the models say

2 of 3 models lean towards Away win · Flamengo (average probability 38.8%).

Model	1 · Santos	X	2 · Flamengo	Pick
ELO + Poisson	47.5%	25.1%	27.5%	Home win · Santos
Pro AI (XGBoost)	31.8%	24.4%	43.8%	Away win · Flamengo
Data Providers	10.0%	45.0%	45.0%	Away win · Flamengo
Consensus	29.8%	31.5%	38.8%	Away win · Flamengo

Provider tip: Double chance : draw or Flamengo · Model probabilities are informational - not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 4.02 on a Santos win, 3.62 on the draw and 1.82 on a Flamengo win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Santos win	4.02	4.30 Betano	24.9%	31.8%
Draw	3.62	3.80 Betfair	27.6%	24.4%
Flamengo win	1.82	1.87 1xBet	54.9%	43.8%
Over 2.5 goals	1.77	1.81 1xBet	56.5%	51.3%
Under 2.5 goals	2.03	2.07 Pinnacle	49.3%	48.7%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.68	1.73 William Hill	59.5%	56.3%
Both teams to score - No	2.06	2.10 Betano	48.5%	43.8%

Updated: 02.10.2026 01:43 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Santos v Flamengo

Santos

WWWWD

3 Oct 2026ASão Paulo2–1W
19 Sep 2026ARemo2–1W
13 Sep 2026HCruzeiro2–1W
6 Sep 2026AInternacional3–2W
3 September 2026HPalmeiras0–0D

Flamengo

WDWWW

20 Sep 2026HBragantino2–1W
18 Sep 2026HIndependiente del Valle1–1D
13 Sep 2026HCorinthians2–1W
11 Sep 2026AIndependiente del Valle2–0W
6 Sep 2026ARemo1–0W

Serie A standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	+32	60	WWWWW
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57	DWDDW
3	Athletico PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49	WDLDW
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48	WLWDW
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46	LWWWW
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45	WLWLW
7	Atlético Mineiro	28	12	7	9	+5	43	WDWLW
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41	WWWWW
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38	LDLWW
10	São Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LWLWW
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LLDLL
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	-4	35	LWDDL
13	Vitória	28	9	6	13	-14	33	LDWLL
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32	LLLLL
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32	WDWLD
16	Vasco da Gama	27	8	7	12	-7	31	WWLWL
17	Grêmio	28	7	8	13	-8	29	DLLLW
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28	LWLLD
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23	LLLLL
20	Chapecoense	27	3	9	15	-24	18	DLWLW

Match information: Santos v Flamengo

Kick-off: Thu 8 Oct · 22:30
Competition: Serie A
Round: Regular Season – 29
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira
City: Santos
Surface: grass
Capacity: 16,798