SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen in Bundesliga ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · SC Freiburg at 66.2% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · SC Freiburg
X
2 · Werder Bremen
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
68.2%
18.5%
13.3%
Home win · SC Freiburg
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
66.2%
17.9%
15.9%
Home win · SC Freiburg
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · SC Freiburg
✔ Correct
Final score
4:1
Home win · SC Freiburg
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.92 on a SC Freiburg win, 3.59 on the draw and 3.85 on a Werder Bremen win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
SC Freiburg win
1.92
1.971xBet
52.1%
66.2%
Draw
3.59
3.741xBet
27.9%
17.9%
Werder Bremen win
3.85
4.161xBet
26%
15.9%
Over 2.5 goals
1.76
1.811xBet
56.8%
69.6%
Under 2.5 goals
2.08
2.151xBet
48.1%
30.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.64
1.67Bet365
61%
56.9%
Both teams to score - No
2.17
2.2010Bet
46.1%
43.1%
Updated: 30.08.2026 04:08 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
29′⚽Y. Suzuki · Goal (assist: J. Beste)
45′⚽I. Matanovic · Goal (assist: M. Ginter)
Match statistics: SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
Statistic
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Possession
64%
36%
Shots on target
2
1
Total shots
13
2
Shots off target
7
1
Blocked shots
4
0
Corners
4
0
Fouls
4
10
Saves
1
0
Passes
287
161
Pass accuracy
92%
79%
Line-ups: SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Mio Backhaus 6.6
3 Philipp Lienhart 7.2
7 Derry Scherhant 6.7
8 Maximilian Eggestein 6.3
14 Yuito Suzuki 7.2
16 Yannick Engelhardt 6.3
17 Lukas Kübler 6.9
19 Jan-Niklas Beste 7.2
28 Matthias Ginter 7.3
31 Igor Matanović 7.9
33 Jordy Makengo 6.6
Substitutes (9)
9 Lucas Höler
21 Florian Müller
22 Cyriaque Irié
27 Berkay Yılmaz
29 Philipp Treu
30 Christian Günter
32 Vincenzo Grifo
37 Maximilian Rosenfelder
42 Keisuke Goto
Werder Bremen 4-3-3
Starting XI
1 Karl Hein 5.9
2 Olivier Deman 6.2
5 Amos Pieper 6.5
10 Niclas Füllkrug 6.5
11 Justin Njinmah 6.9
14 Senne Lynen 6.3
15 Ludovit Reis 6.7
17 Marco Grüll 7.3
20 Chuki 6.2
32 Marco Friedl 6.5
33 Mick Schmetgens 6.0
Substitutes (9)
7 Samuel Mbangula
18 Eren Dinkçi
22 Julián Malatini
23 Dariusz Stalmach
24 Patrice Čović
26 Cédric Itten
29 Salim Musah
30 Alexander Schlager
38 Paul Erevbenagie
Form and head-to-head: SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
