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SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

Admiral Bundesliga
SK Rapid
3:1
Full time
Sturm Graz

SK Rapid v Sturm Graz in Admiral Bundesliga ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · SK Rapid at 54.4% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · SK Rapid X 2 · Sturm Graz Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 55.0% 24.2% 20.8% Home win · SK Rapid ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 54.4% 25.8% 19.8% Home win · SK Rapid ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · SK Rapid ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · SK Rapid
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.14 on a SK Rapid win, 3.70 on the draw and 3.01 on a Sturm Graz win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
SK Rapid win 2.14 2.23 Unibet 46.7% 54.4%
Draw 3.70 4.04 Pinnacle 27% 25.8%
Sturm Graz win 3.01 3.10 Bet365 33.2% 19.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.58 1.62 Bet365 63.3% 61.9%
Under 2.5 goals 2.31 2.46 Pinnacle 43.3% 38.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.49 1.53 Bet365 67.1% 53.3%
Both teams to score - No 2.43 2.55 Betfair 41.2% 46.7%
Updated: 30.08.2026 10:09 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

  1. 3′J. Heil · Yellow card
  2. 7′Y. Demir · Penalty
  3. 10′B. Beganovic · Goal (assist: S. Seidl)
  4. 17′M. Tilio · Goal (assist: T. Adamsen)

Match statistics: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

Statistic SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 3 2
Total shots 7 7
Shots off target 2 4
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 3 3
Fouls 0 3
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 1 1
Passes 216 163
Pass accuracy 84% 72%

Line-ups: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

SK Rapid 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Niklas Hedl 6.3
  2. 6 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao 6.5
  3. 7 Marco Tilio 6.9
  4. 8 Tonni Adamsen 7.2
  5. 22 Yusuf Demir 7.2
  6. 29 Romeo Amane 6.5
  7. 30 Nicolas Bajlicz 6.3
  8. 38 Jannes Horn 6.3
  9. 43 Moulaye Haïdara 7.0
  10. 55 Nenad Cvetković 6.2
  11. 77 Bendegúz Bolla 6.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Eaden Roka
  2. 9 Ercan Kara
  3. 10 Petter Nosakhare Dahl
  4. 15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand
  5. 18 Matthias Seidl
  6. 21 Louis Schaub
  7. 25 Paul Gartler
  8. 47 Amin Gröller
  9. 61 Furkan Demir

Sturm Graz 4-2-2-2

Starting XI

  1. 4 Jon Gorenc Stanković 6.5
  2. 5 Albert Vallci 6.5
  3. 18 Emran Soglo 6.5
  4. 19 Simon Seidl 6.5
  5. 20 Seedy Jatta 6.3
  6. 22 Ammar Helac 6.2
  7. 26 Belmin Beganović 7.2
  8. 28 Jurgen Heil 5.9
  9. 30 Paul Koller 6.3
  10. 39 Luca Weinhandl 6.7
  11. 43 Jacob Hödl 5.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Joshua Quarshie
  2. 11 Axel Kayombo
  3. 15 Gizo Mamageishvili
  4. 21 Petar Petrović
  5. 23 Arjan Malić
  6. 27 Luís Balbo
  7. 41 Elias Lorenz
  8. 44 Nelson Weiper
  9. 78 Valmir Matoshi

Form and head-to-head: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

SK Rapid

WWLDD

Sturm Graz

WWDWL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

SK Rapid wins: 0; draws: 0; Sturm Graz wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Sturm Graz 2–0 SK Rapid Admiral Bundesliga

Admiral Bundesliga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
2 Sturm Graz 32 16 8 8 +16 37 DDDDWWWDDW
3 Salzburg 32 13 9 10 +15 29 DWWLLLLDLW
3 LASK Linz 22 11 4 7 +2 37 LLLDWLLWLD
4 Austria Wien 32 14 5 13 -5 29 LLDLWWLWDL
5 SK Rapid 22 9 6 7 +1 33 WLLWDWWWLD
6 Hartberg 22 8 9 5 +5 33 WWDLWWLDDL
7 WSG Tirol 22 8 7 7 +1 31 LDDLDWDWWL
8 Rheindorf Altach 22 7 8 7 -1 29 DDWWDWDDLW
9 Ried 22 8 4 10 -4 28 LLLWWLDLDL
10 Wolfsberger AC 22 7 5 10 -1 26 LLDWDDWWLL
11 Grazer AK 22 4 8 10 -14 20 LLLLLDDLDW
12 Blau-Weiß Linz 22 4 3 15 -16 15 LLDLLLLWWL

Managers: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

Johannes Thorup
SK RapidManagerJohannes Thorup
F. Ingolitsch
Sturm GrazManagerF. Ingolitsch

Match information: SK Rapid v Sturm Graz

Kick-off
·
Competition
Admiral Bundesliga
Round
5