South Africa v Canada

0:1

Full time

South Africa v Canada in World Cup ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: South Africa v Canada

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · South Africa at 43.6% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · South Africa	X	2 · Canada	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	53.6%	24.1%	22.3%	Home win · South Africa	✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)	43.6%	26.1%	30.3%	Home win · South Africa	✘ Missed
Final score	0:1			Away win · Canada

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Market probabilities

Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).

Main markets

Final result (1X2)

1 - home29.5%

X - draw28.6%

2 - away41.9%

Double chance

1X - home/draw58.1%

12 - no draw71.4%

X2 - away/draw70.5%

Both teams to score

Yes44.7%

No55.3%

Total goals in the match

Total goals 1.5

Over 1.565.3%

Under 1.534.7%

Total goals 2.5

Over 2.538.7%

Under 2.561.4%

Total goals 3.5

Over 3.518.8%

Under 3.581.2%

Total goals 4.5

Over 4.59.2%

Under 4.590.8%

Home goals

Home goals 0.5

Over 0.560.6%

Under 0.539.4%

Home goals 1.5

Over 1.525.2%

Under 1.574.8%

Home goals 2.5

Over 2.57.7%

Under 2.592.3%

Home goals 3.5

Over 3.51.9%

Under 3.598.1%

Away goals

Away goals 0.5

Over 0.569.7%

Under 0.530.3%

Away goals 1.5

Over 1.534.6%

Under 1.565.4%

Away goals 2.5

Over 2.512.8%

Under 2.587.2%

Away goals 3.5

Over 3.53.8%

Under 3.596.2%

Correct score

Most likely correct score

0:113.3%

1:113.1%

0:010.8%

1:010.6%

0:28.2%

Match events: South Africa v Canada

46′Thalente Mbatha · Substitution (off: Relebohile Mofokeng)
54′Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Yellow card
59′Luc De Fougerolles · Substitution (off: Moïse Bombito)
59′Niko Sigur · Substitution (off: Nathan-Dylan Saliba)
67′Niko Sigur · Yellow card
70′Promise David · Substitution (off: Tani Oluwaseyi)
70′Jacob Shaffelburg · Substitution (off: Liam Millar)
75′Alphonso Davies · Substitution (off: Tajon Buchanan)
86′Tshepang Moremi · Substitution (off: Thapelo Maseko)
86′Iqraam Rayners · Substitution (off: Evidence Makgopa)
90+2′Stephen Eustaquio · Goal

Match statistics: South Africa v Canada

Statistic	South Africa	Canada
Possession	58%	42%
Shots on target	1	7
Total shots	6	12
Shots off target	4	5
Blocked shots	5	1
Corners	0	1
Fouls	10	16
Offsides	1	0
Yellow cards	12	4
Red cards	5	13
Saves	0	1
Passes	554	379
Pass accuracy	84%	79%

Line-ups: South Africa v Canada

South Africa 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1 Ronwen Williams 7.7
4 Teboho Mokoena 6.8
6 Aubrey Modiba 7.4
7 Oswin Appollis 6.6
10 Relebohile Mofokeng 6.7
12 Thapelo Maseko 6.5
13 Yaya Sithole 7.3
14 Mbekezeli Mbokazi 7.0
17 Evidence Makgopa 6.6
20 Khuliso Mudau 7.2
21 Ime Okon 7.0

Substitutes (14)

2 Thabang Matuludi
3 Khulumani Ndamane
5 Thalente Mbatha 6.5
8 Tshepang Moremi
9 Lyle Foster
15 Iqraam Rayners
16 Sipho Chaine
18 Samukele Kabini
19 Nkosinathi Sibisi
22 Ricardo Goss
23 Jayden Adams
24 Olwethu Makhanya
25 Kamogelo Sebelebele
26 Bradley Cross

Canada 4-4-2

Starting XI

2 Alistair Johnston 6.8
7 Stephen Eustaquio 8.6
10 Jonathan David 6.5
11 Liam Millar 6.3
12 Tani Oluwaseyi 6.7
13 Derek Cornelius 7.3
15 Moïse Bombito 6.7
16 Maxime Crépeau 6.9
17 Tajon Buchanan 6.4
22 Richie Laryea 7.0
25 Nathan-Dylan Saliba 6.9

Substitutes (14)

1 Dayne St. Clair
3 Alfie Jones
4 Luc De Fougerolles 7.4
5 Joel Waterman
6 Mathieu Choinière
9 Cyle Larin
14 Jacob Shaffelburg 6.3
18 Owen Goodman
19 Alphonso Davies 6.1
20 Ali Ahmed
21 Jonathan Osorio
23 Niko Sigur 6.5
24 Promise David 6.8
26 Jayden Nelson

Form and head-to-head: South Africa v Canada

South Africa

WDLDD

25 Jun 2026HKorea Republic1–0W
18 Jun 2026ACzech Republic1–1D
11 Jun 2026AMexico0–2L
29 May 2026HNicaragua0–0D
27 Mar 2026HPanama1–1D

Canada

LLWDD

4 Jul 2026HMorocco0–3L
24 Jun 2026ASwitzerland1–2L
18 Jun 2026HQatar6–0W
12 Jun 2026HBosnia and Herzegovina1–1D
6 Jun 2026HRepublic of Ireland1–1D

World Cup standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	-1	4
3	Korea Republic	3	1	0	2	-1	3
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	-4	1
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	+5	4
3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	-1	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	-8	1