Spalding United v Bury Town

4:0

Full time

Spalding United v Bury Town in English FA Cup ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Spalding United v Bury Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Bury Town at 41.0% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was wrong.

Model	1 · Spalding United	X	2 · Bury Town	Prediction	Result
ELO + Poisson	46.6%	23.2%	30.2%	Home win · Spalding United	✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)	37.8%	21.2%	41.0%	Away win · Bury Town	✘ Missed
Data Providers	45.0%	45.0%	10.0%	Home win · Spalding United	✔ Correct
Final score	4:0			Home win · Spalding United

Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.68 on a Spalding United win, 3.85 on the draw and 4.12 on a Bury Town win (closing odds).

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Spalding United win	1.68	1.77 1xBet	59.5%	37.8%
Draw	3.85	4.04 1xBet	26%	21.2%
Bury Town win	4.12	4.33 Betfair	24.3%	41%
Over 2.5 goals	1.78	1.81 1xBet	56.2%	59.5%
Under 2.5 goals	1.96	2.00 Bet365	51%	40.5%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.71	1.72 Marathonbet	58.5%	53.7%
Both teams to score - No	1.98	2.00 BetVictor	50.5%	46.3%

Updated: 05.10.2026 08:01 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Spalding United v Bury Town

4′ · Goal
20′ · Goal
38′ · Goal
82′ · Yellow card
83′ · Goal

Match statistics: Spalding United v Bury Town

Statistic	Spalding United	Bury Town
Possession	46%	54%
Shots on target	7	5
Total shots	14	13
Shots off target	7	8
Blocked shots	0	0
Corners	4	4
Yellow cards	1	0
Red cards	0	0

Form and head-to-head: Spalding United v Bury Town

Spalding United

LDLWW

10 Oct 2026AMarine0–1L
3 Oct 2026ABury Town1–1D
26 Sep 2026AChorley1–2L
19 Sep 2026HHanley Town2–0W
12 Sep 2026HBedford Town2–1W

Bury Town

WDWLW

10 Oct 2026AAlvechurch1–0W
3 Oct 2026HSpalding United1–1D
29 Sep 2026ABishop's Stortford2–1W
26 Sep 2026ASt Albans City1–4L
22 Sep 2026HHitchin Town1–0W

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Spalding United wins: 0; draws: 1; Bury Town wins: 0.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
3 Oct 2026	Bury Town	1–1	Spalding United	English FA Cup

English FA Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Spalding United v Bury Town

Kick-off: Tue 6 Oct · 18:45
Competition: English FA Cup
Round: 3rd Round Qualifying Replays