Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau in Primera División ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Sporting Cristal at 42.9% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Sporting Cristal
X
2 · Atletico Grau
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.3%
24.4%
21.3%
Home win · Sporting Cristal
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
42.9%
24.8%
32.2%
Home win · Sporting Cristal
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Sporting Cristal
✔ Correct
Final score
3:1
Home win · Sporting Cristal
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.35 on a Sporting Cristal win, 4.53 on the draw and 7.63 on a Atletico Grau win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Sporting Cristal win
1.35
1.38Betano
74.1%
42.9%
Draw
4.53
4.80Pinnacle
22.1%
24.8%
Atletico Grau win
7.63
8.00Bet365
13.1%
32.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.65
1.67Betano
60.6%
50.3%
Under 2.5 goals
2.17
2.20Betfair
46.1%
49.7%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.89
1.91Bet365
52.9%
53.8%
Both teams to score - No
1.81
1.85William Hill
55.2%
46.2%
Updated: 17.09.2026 12:16 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau
3′⚽Rafael Lutiger · Goal (assist: Yoshimar Yotún)
26′⚽Luis Iberico · Goal (assist: Santiago González)
39′🟨Rafael Guarderas · Yellow card
45′⚽Adrián Fernández · Goal (assist: Rafael Guarderas)
45′🔄Diego Barreto · Substitution (off: Mauro Da Luz)
50′🟨Freddy Oncoy · Yellow card
50′🟨Cristiano · Yellow card
50′⚽Michael Hoyos · Goal (assist: Yoshimar Yotún)
54′🟨Gabriel Alfaro · Yellow card
66′🟨Adrián Fernández · Yellow card
69′🔄Pablo Lavandeira · Substitution (off: Luis Benites)