LigaToday
Profile

Stal Mielec v Nieciecza

I Liga
Stal Mielec
1:2
Full time
Nieciecza

Stal Mielec v Nieciecza in I Liga ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Stal Mielec v Nieciecza

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Nieciecza at 41.9% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Stal Mielec X 2 · Nieciecza Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.3% 27.3% 27.4% Home win · Stal Mielec ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 35.5% 22.7% 41.9% Away win · Nieciecza ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Nieciecza ✔ Correct
Final score 1:2 Away win · Nieciecza
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.34 on a Stal Mielec win, 3.54 on the draw and 2.57 on a Nieciecza win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Stal Mielec win 2.34 2.40 Bet365 42.7% 35.5%
Draw 3.54 3.78 Pinnacle 28.2% 22.7%
Nieciecza win 2.57 2.63 Pinnacle 38.9% 41.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.59 1.61 Pinnacle 62.9% 62.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.26 2.30 Bet365 44.2% 37.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.48 1.50 Bet365 67.6% 61.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.45 2.50 William Hill 40.8% 38.9%
Updated: 11.09.2026 11:36 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Stal Mielec v Nieciecza

  1. 16′W. Jakubik · Yellow card
  2. 34′S. Musiolik · Substitution (off: K. Odolak)
  3. 45+1′F. Gerbowski · Goal (assist: K. Cybulski)
  4. 45+3′M. Kozik · Goal (assist: A. Putivtsev)
  5. 51′K. Cybulski · Yellow card
  6. 54′D. Biniek · Substitution (off: K. Zapolnik)
  7. 62′M. Cebula · Substitution (off: M. Domanski)
  8. 62′K. Cybulski · Substitution (off: S. Oure)
  9. 62′I. Puerto · Substitution (off: H. Matynia)
  10. 64′H. Matynia · Yellow card
  11. 66′K. Zapolnik · Yellow card
  12. 73′A. Putivtsev · Yellow card
  13. 76′M. Kozik · Substitution (off: M. Synos)
  14. 76′W. Jakubik · Substitution (off: I. Durdov)
  15. 78′K. Getinger · Yellow card
  16. 80′K. Zapolnik · Penalty
  17. 86′F. Gerbowski · Substitution (off: T. Gmur)
  18. 89′K. Zapolnik · Red card
  19. 90+4′R. Boboc · Substitution (off: A. Zarowny)

Form and head-to-head: Stal Mielec v Nieciecza

Stal Mielec

DDLLW
  • HOdra Opole1–1D
  • AGórnik Łęczna3–3D
  • APogoń Siedlce0–2L
  • AŁKS Łódź0–4L
  • HPolonia Bytom5–2W

Nieciecza

WWDLL
  • HLechia Gdansk2–1W
  • AWigry Suwałki5–1W
  • APogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–2D
  • HPolonia Warszawa1–3L
  • AŁKS Łódź1–2L

I Liga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 ŁKS Łódź 8 4 3 1 +6 15 WDDWW
2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 8 4 3 1 +5 15 LWDDD
3 Miedz Legnica 8 4 2 2 +6 14 LDWWW
4 Nieciecza 8 4 1 3 +1 13 WWDLL
5 Chrobry Głogów 8 3 3 2 +5 12 DDWLD
6 Warta Poznań 8 4 0 4 +3 12 WLLWL
7 Polonia Warszawa 8 3 2 3 +1 11 DLLWL
8 Arka Gdynia 8 3 2 3 +1 11 LDDLW
9 Ruch Chorzów 8 3 2 3 -2 11 DWLWW
10 Stal Rzeszów 8 3 2 3 -6 11 WWWLD
11 Lechia Gdansk 8 3 1 4 -4 10 WLWWL
12 Pogoń Siedlce 7 2 3 2 +1 9 DWLWD
13 Odra Opole 8 2 3 3 -1 9 LDDDW
14 Stal Mielec 8 2 3 3 -3 9 LDLLW
15 Unia Skierniewice 8 3 0 5 -5 9 WLLWL
16 Polonia Bytom 8 1 5 2 -3 8 DDDDL
17 Podbeskidzie 8 0 7 1 -2 7 DDLDD
18 Puszcza Niepołomice 7 2 0 5 -3 6 LWLLW

Match information: Stal Mielec v Nieciecza

Kick-off
·
Competition
I Liga
Round
Regular Season – 8