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Stranraer v Dumbarton

Scottish League Two
Stranraer
3:1
Full time
Dumbarton

Stranraer v Dumbarton in Scottish League Two ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Stranraer v Dumbarton

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Stranraer at 63.6% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Stranraer X 2 · Dumbarton Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 56.8% 22.5% 20.7% Home win · Stranraer ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 63.6% 15.1% 21.3% Home win · Stranraer ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Stranraer
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.78 on a Stranraer win, 3.59 on the draw and 3.85 on a Dumbarton win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Stranraer win 1.78 1.83 Bet365 56.2% 63.6%
Draw 3.59 3.60 Bet365 27.9% 15.1%
Dumbarton win 3.85 3.96 1xBet 26% 21.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.69 1.70 Bet365 59.2% 69%
Under 2.5 goals 2.07 2.10 Bet365 48.3% 31%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.67 Bet365 61.3% 54.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.13 2.16 1xBet 46.9% 45.5%
Updated: 08.09.2026 23:19 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Stranraer v Dumbarton

  1. 32′S. Honeyman · Goal
  2. 38′D. Craig · Yellow card
  3. 55′S. Mason · Goal (assist: A. Quigg)
  4. 59′L. Dobbie · Goal (assist: S. Mason)
  5. 60′J. Sowa · Substitution (off: C. Campbell)
  6. 62′S. Mason · Yellow card
  7. 66′D. Craig · Substitution (off: J. Todd)
  8. 67′D. McManus · Substitution (off: J. Dolan)
  9. 67′A. Traynor · Substitution (off: J. Stuart)
  10. 72′Z. Bruce · Goal (assist: L. Dobbie)
  11. 76′K. Kirkpatrick · Substitution (off: L. McIntosh)
  12. 76′T. Robson · Substitution (off: T. Wallace)
  13. 76′S. Mason · Substitution (off: D. Clelland)
  14. 82′Z. Bruce · Substitution (off: R. Foster)
  15. 90+2′K. Nair · Yellow card
  16. 90+2′L. McIntosh · Penalty missed

Form and head-to-head: Stranraer v Dumbarton

Stranraer

WLWWD
  • AForfar Athletic3–0W
  • HCeltic II3–4L
  • HKelty Hearts2–0W
  • HGala Fairydean Rovers3–0W
  • AStirling Albion2–2D

Dumbarton

LWLDL
  • ACove Rangers1–6L
  • HElgin City2–1W
  • AAnnan Athletic0–2L
  • HCeltic II2–2D
  • AKelty Hearts1–3L

Scottish League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Clyde 7 5 1 1 +9 16 WWDWW
2 Stranraer 7 4 1 2 +5 13 WWWDW
3 Spartans 7 3 3 1 +7 12 WWDDL
4 Elgin City 7 3 2 2 +9 11 LLWDW
5 Annan Athletic 7 3 0 4 0 9 WLWLL
6 Kelty Hearts 7 3 0 4 -5 9 LWLWL
7 Forfar Athletic 7 2 2 3 -6 8 LLDLW
8 Edinburgh City 7 3 2 2 +2 6 WLDWW
9 Dumbarton 7 2 0 5 -9 6 LWLLL
10 Stirling Albion 7 1 1 5 -12 4 LLLDL

Match information: Stranraer v Dumbarton

Kick-off
·
Competition
Scottish League Two
Round
Regular Season – 7
Venue
Stair Park
City
Stranraer