UCD v Athlone Town in First Division ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: UCD v Athlone Town
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · UCD at 46.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · UCD
X
2 · Athlone Town
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
52.8%
24.9%
22.3%
Home win · UCD
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
46.2%
17.0%
36.8%
Home win · UCD
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · UCD
✘ Missed
Final score
2:2
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.92 on a UCD win, 3.45 on the draw and 3.49 on a Athlone Town win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
UCD win
1.92
1.97Pinnacle
52.1%
46.2%
Draw
3.45
3.52Pinnacle
29%
17%
Athlone Town win
3.49
3.61Pinnacle
28.7%
36.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.65
1.67Pinnacle
60.6%
59.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.14
2.17Pinnacle
46.7%
40.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.56
1.57William Hill
64.1%
57.5%
Both teams to score - No
2.25
2.271xBet
44.4%
42.5%
Updated: 07.09.2026 11:10 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: UCD v Athlone Town
4′⚽E. O'Connor · Goal
45′⚽H. Smith · Goal
46′🔄H. Curtis · Substitution (off: N. Holohan)
49′🟨N. Holohan · Yellow card
57′⚽C. Akinrintayo · Goal
62′🟨B. McManus · Yellow card
66′🔄S. Norval · Substitution (off: C. Behan)
71′🔄C. Cleary · Substitution (off: K. O'Connor)
71′🔄E. O'Connor · Substitution (off: T. Considine)
75′🔄P. Grogan · Substitution (off: P. Ferry)
78′⚽P. Ferry · Goal
83′🔄C. Akinrintayo · Substitution (off: S. Mohan)
83′🔄J. Goad · Substitution (off: G. Ogbonna)
90+3′🔄M. McCullagh · Substitution (off: M. Alonge)
