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Uganda v Libya

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Uganda
1:0
Full time
Libya

Uganda v Libya in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Uganda v Libya

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Uganda at 40.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Uganda X 2 · Libya Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.8% 28.2% 26.1% Home win · Uganda ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 40.9% 25.2% 33.9% Home win · Uganda ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Uganda ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Uganda
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.95 on a Uganda win, 2.98 on the draw and 3.99 on a Libya win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Uganda win 1.95 2.05 Betano 51.3% 40.9%
Draw 2.98 3.12 Marathonbet 33.6% 25.2%
Libya win 3.99 4.45 Pinnacle 25.1% 33.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.58 2.65 Pinnacle 38.8% 55.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.45 1.47 Betano 69% 44.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.21 2.25 Bet365 45.2% 58.9%
Both teams to score - No 1.60 1.62 William Hill 62.5% 41.1%
Updated: 29.09.2026 13:30 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Uganda v Libya

  1. 45+2′Arnold Vula Lamb Luth · Goal (assist: Allan Okello)
  2. 51′Fadel Libya Ali Salama · Yellow card
  3. 55′Abdulmunem Aleiyan · Substitution (off: Amjed Al Gsheim)
  4. 59′Arnold Vula Lamb Luth · Substitution (off: Kelvin Owusu Boateng)
  5. 62′Sayfulnasr Judour · Yellow card
  6. 66′Maruwan Alhibeeshi · Substitution (off: Osama Mukhtar Al Shremi)
  7. 73′Muad Abdulbasit Salem Eisa · Substitution (off: Ahmed Alsuwee)
  8. 77′Rogers Mato · Yellow card
  9. 78′Allan Okello · Substitution (off: Denis Omedi)
  10. 86′Mahmoud Al Shilw · Yellow card
  11. 87′Rogers Mato · Substitution (off: Allan Oyirwoth)

Match statistics: Uganda v Libya

Statistic Uganda Libya
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 1 5
Total shots 5 10
Shots off target 4 3
Blocked shots 0 2
Corners 2 4
Fouls 14 21
Offsides 3 1
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 0
Passes 350 426

Line-ups: Uganda v Libya

Uganda 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 2 N. Asiimwe 7.0
  2. 3 R. Torach 7.6
  3. 4 K. Semakula 7.0
  4. 5 T. Sibbick 7.5
  5. 6 B. Alhassan 6.6
  6. 7 R. Mato 6.1
  7. 9 A. Vula 7.8
  8. 15 N. Okello 6.5
  9. 18 D. Onyango 7.7
  10. 21 A. Okello 7.6
  11. 23 A. Kayondo 6.7
Substitutes (4)
  1. 8 Allan Oyirwoth 6.8
  2. 10 T. Mutyaba
  3. 13 K. Boateng 6.5
  4. 17 J. Bogere

Form and head-to-head: Uganda v Libya

Uganda

DWDLD

Libya

DDW

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 +2 4 WD
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Managers: Uganda v Libya

P. Put
UgandaManagerP. Put

Match information: Uganda v Libya

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2
City
Kampala
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,000