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União Santarém v Caldas

Portuguese Liga 3
União Santarém
0:1
Full time
Caldas

União Santarém v Caldas in Portuguese Liga 3 ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: União Santarém v Caldas

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · União Santarém at 38.7% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · União Santarém X 2 · Caldas Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.8% 29.9% 23.4% Home win · União Santarém ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 38.7% 24.7% 36.6% Home win · União Santarém ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · União Santarém ✘ Missed
Final score 0:1 Away win · Caldas
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.13 on a União Santarém win, 3.16 on the draw and 3.15 on a Caldas win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
União Santarém win 2.13 2.19 Pinnacle 46.9% 38.7%
Draw 3.16 3.28 Pinnacle 31.6% 24.7%
Caldas win 3.15 3.29 Pinnacle 31.7% 36.6%
Over 2.5 goals 2.13 2.21 Pinnacle 46.9% 54.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.67 1.67 Marathonbet 59.9% 45.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.83 1.85 William Hill 54.6% 54.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.83 1.84 1xBet 54.6% 45.9%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: União Santarém v Caldas

União Santarém

WLDL
  • ALouletano2–1W
  • ACF Os Belenenses0–5L
  • HOliveirense1–1D
  • ASC Covilha0–2L

Caldas

WLLDL
  • HVitória de Sernache2–0W
  • HSintrense1–3L
  • HLouletano2–4L
  • HLusitano Évora 19110–0D
  • ACF Os Belenenses0–1L

Portuguese Liga 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Varzim 3 3 0 0 +5 9 WWW
1 CF Os Belenenses 3 3 0 0 +8 9 WWW
2 Paredes 3 2 0 1 +2 6 LWW
2 Atlético CP 3 2 1 0 +4 7 WDW
3 AD Marco 09 3 2 0 1 +2 6 WLW
3 Oliveirense 3 1 2 0 +1 5 WDD
4 Fafe 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
4 Lusitano Évora 1911 3 1 1 1 0 4 WDL
5 Guimaraes B 3 1 1 1 0 4 DWL
5 Louletano 3 1 1 1 0 4 WLD
6 Vianense 3 1 1 1 0 4 LWD
6 SC Covilha 3 1 1 1 -1 4 LDW
7 Leça 3 1 1 1 -1 4 WLD
7 Mafra 3 1 1 1 +4 4 LDW
8 Trofense 3 1 0 2 -2 3 WLL
8 Caldas 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LDL
9 São João Ver 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LLD
9 Vitória de Sernache 3 0 1 2 -6 1 LDL
10 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 0 3 -5 0 LLL
10 União Santarém 3 0 1 2 -7 1 LDL

Match information: União Santarém v Caldas

Kick-off
·
Competition
Portuguese Liga 3
Round
Regular Season – 4
Venue
Campo Cha das Padeiras
City
Santarem