Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina in Serie C – Girone A ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Union Brescia at 50.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Union Brescia X 2 · Desenzano Calvina Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.6% 30.9% 22.5% Home win · Union Brescia ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 50.9% 23.3% 25.8% Home win · Union Brescia ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Union Brescia ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Union Brescia
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.57 on a Union Brescia win, 3.45 on the draw and 5.75 on a Desenzano Calvina win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Union Brescia win 1.57 1.62 Pinnacle 63.7% 50.9%
Draw 3.45 3.75 Bet365 29% 23.3%
Desenzano Calvina win 5.75 6.00 BetVictor 17.4% 25.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.25 2.30 Pinnacle 44.4% 49%
Under 2.5 goals 1.58 1.62 Bet365 63.3% 51%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.21 2.25 Bet365 45.2% 47.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.57 1.60 William Hill 63.7% 52.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:22 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina

  1. 15′V. De Maria · Goal
  2. 27′L. Milani · Yellow card
  3. 27′A. Berardi · Yellow card
  4. 46′A. Rizzo · Substitution (off: L. Armati)
  5. 63′M. Zennaro · Substitution (off: M. Marras)
  6. 63′T. Casasola · Substitution (off: D. Balestrero)
  7. 67′A. Lamesta · Substitution (off: M. R. Frigerio)
  8. 71′M. Moscati · Substitution (off: L. Baldi)
  9. 74′T. Panelli · Yellow card
  10. 77′V. Millico · Substitution (off: A. Procaccio)
  11. 77′K. Biondi · Substitution (off: N. Boiga)
  12. 84′V. Crespi · Substitution (off: J. Pellegrini)
  13. 90′L. Milani · Substitution (off: L. Ubaldi)
  14. 90′C. Santini · Substitution (off: L. Giorgi)

Form and head-to-head: Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia

WWWLL
  • HGiana Erminio5–2W
  • APergolettese1–0W
  • HAthletic Carpi3–1W
  • AArezzo0–2L
  • AAscoli0–3L

Desenzano Calvina

WDDDL
  • ATrento1–0W
  • HTrento0–0D
  • APRO Vercelli1–1D
  • ALecco0–0D
  • AScafatese0–1L

Serie C – Girone A standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Cittadella 3 3 0 0 +4 9 WWW
2 Union Brescia 3 3 0 0 +4 9 WWW
3 Ospitaletto 3 2 1 0 +4 7 WDW
4 Dolomiti Bellunesi 3 2 1 0 +2 7 WDW
5 Trento 3 2 1 0 +2 7 WDW
6 Alcione 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DDW
7 Juventus U23 3 1 2 0 +1 5 DDW
8 Athletic Carpi 3 1 1 1 -1 4 WDL
9 Novara 3 1 1 1 0 4 WDL
10 Albinoleffe 3 1 1 1 0 4 LDW
11 Treviso 3 1 1 1 0 4 DWL
12 PRO Vercelli 3 1 1 1 0 4 WLD
13 Arzignano Valchiampo 3 1 1 1 -1 4 LWD
14 Lumezzane 3 1 0 2 -2 3 LWL
15 Desenzano Calvina 3 0 2 1 -1 2 LDD
16 Folgore Caratese 3 0 1 2 -2 1 LDL
17 Lecco 3 0 1 2 -2 1 LLD
18 Pergolettese 3 0 1 2 -3 1 DLL
19 Giana Erminio 3 0 0 3 -3 0 LLL
20 Renate 3 0 0 3 -4 0 LLL

Match information: Union Brescia v Desenzano Calvina

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie C – Girone A
Round
Girone A – 3
City
Brescia
Surface
grass
Capacity
19,500