Uruguay v Spain in World Cup ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Uruguay v Spain
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Spain at 56.1% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Uruguay
X
2 · Spain
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.7%
23.6%
21.7%
Home win · Uruguay
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
22.1%
21.7%
56.1%
Away win · Spain
✔ Correct
Final score
0:1
Away win · Spain
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Market probabilities
Statistical probabilities for the main markets in this match - final result, double chance, both teams to score, total goals and correct score. These are informational estimates, not betting advice (18+).
Main markets
Final result (1X2)
1 - home24.8%
X - draw24.2%
2 - away51.0%
Double chance
1X - home/draw49.0%
12 - no draw75.8%
X2 - away/draw75.2%
Both teams to score
Yes49.1%
No50.9%
Total goals in the match
Total goals 1.5
Over 1.573.1%
Under 1.526.9%
Total goals 2.5
Over 2.548.6%
Under 2.551.4%
Total goals 3.5
Over 3.527.2%
Under 3.572.8%
Total goals 4.5
Over 4.515.8%
Under 4.584.3%
Home goals
Home goals 0.5
Over 0.557.3%
Under 0.542.7%
Home goals 1.5
Over 1.525.5%
Under 1.574.5%
Home goals 2.5
Over 2.59.1%
Under 2.590.9%
Home goals 3.5
Over 3.52.8%
Under 3.597.2%
Away goals
Away goals 0.5
Over 0.577.3%
Under 0.522.8%
Away goals 1.5
Over 1.546.1%
Under 1.553.9%
Away goals 2.5
Over 2.521.4%
Under 2.578.6%
Away goals 3.5
Over 3.58.1%
Under 3.591.9%
Correct score
Most likely correct score
0:112.1%
1:111.1%
0:29.7%
1:28.8%
Match events: Uruguay v Spain
42′⚽Álex Baena · Goal (assist: Marcos Llorente)
45′🔄Nicolás de la Cruz · Substitution (off: Manuel Ugarte)
46′🟨Álex Baena · Yellow card
46′🔄Sergio Rochet · Substitution (off: Fernando Muslera)