V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka

J1 League
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Start time

When and where is V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka in J1 League Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka

What the models say

2 of 2 models lean towards Home win · V-varen Nagasaki (average probability 45.7%).
Model 1 · V-varen Nagasaki X 2 · Cerezo Osaka Pick
ELO + Poisson 47.0% 25.5% 27.5% Home win · V-varen Nagasaki
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.5% 25.0% 30.5% Home win · V-varen Nagasaki
Consensus 45.7% 25.2% 29.0% Home win · V-varen Nagasaki
Model probabilities are for information purposes only - they do not constitute betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 3.58 on a V-varen Nagasaki win, 3.59 on the draw and 1.96 on a Cerezo Osaka win.
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
V-varen Nagasaki win 3.58 3.68 1xBet 27.9% 44.5%
Draw 3.59 3.70 Betfair 27.9% 25%
Cerezo Osaka win 1.96 1.99 Pinnacle 51% 30.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.77 1.80 1xBet 56.5% 55.9%
Under 2.5 goals 2.01 2.04 Pinnacle 49.8% 44.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.64 1.65 William Hill 61% 56.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.13 2.15 William Hill 46.9% 43.8%
Updated: 12.09.2026 23:46 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka

V-varen Nagasaki

WWLDL

Cerezo Osaka

LDWLW
  • ASanfrecce Hiroshima1–6L
  • HTokyo Verdy0–0D
  • HKashiwa Reysol2–0W
  • AVissel Kobe0–1L
  • HFC Gifu3–1W

J1 League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Machida Zelvia 7 5 2 0 +13 17 DWWDW
2 Vissel Kobe 7 5 1 1 +6 16 WWWWL
3 Kashiwa Reysol 7 5 0 2 +3 15 WLLWW
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 4 2 1 +13 14 WLWDD
5 FC Tokyo 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWDWW
6 Fagiano Okayama 7 4 1 2 +2 13 WWWLD
7 Kawasaki Frontale 7 3 3 1 +4 12 WWLWD
8 Kashima 7 4 0 3 +1 12 LLLWW
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 7 3 2 2 +2 11 DWDLW
10 Cerezo Osaka 7 3 1 3 -5 10 LDWLW
11 Mito Hollyhock 7 2 3 2 +2 9 LDWDW
12 Urawa 7 3 0 4 -4 9 LWWWL
13 Shimizu S-pulse 7 2 1 4 -3 7 WLDLL
14 V-varen Nagasaki 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLDLL
15 Gamba Osaka 7 1 3 3 -5 6 LLDDL
16 Nagoya Grampus 7 2 0 5 -6 6 LLLWW
17 Kyoto Sanga 7 1 2 4 -5 5 LLDWL
18 Avispa Fukuoka 7 1 1 5 -2 4 LDLLL
19 Tokyo Verdy 7 0 4 3 -6 4 DDLLD
20 JEF United Chiba 7 1 1 5 -10 4 DWLLL

Match information: V-varen Nagasaki v Cerezo Osaka

Kick-off
·
Competition
J1 League
Round
Regular Season – 8
Venue
PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank
City
Nagasaki
Surface
grass
Capacity
20,027