Velez v Sarajevo in Premijer Liga ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Velez v Sarajevo
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Velez at 43.6% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Velez
X
2 · Sarajevo
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
52.6%
27.4%
20.0%
Home win · Velez
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
43.6%
22.0%
34.3%
Home win · Velez
✔ Correct
Final score
1:0
Home win · Velez
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.14 on a Velez win, 3.00 on the draw and 2.28 on a Sarajevo win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Velez win
3.14
3.141xBet
31.8%
43.6%
Draw
3.00
3.001xBet
33.3%
22%
Sarajevo win
2.28
2.281xBet
43.9%
34.3%
Over 2.5 goals
2.30
2.301xBet
43.5%
49.8%
Under 2.5 goals
1.55
1.551xBet
64.5%
50.2%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.00
2.001xBet
50%
51.7%
Both teams to score - No
1.73
1.731xBet
57.8%
48.3%
Updated: 11.09.2026 05:35 · Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
