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Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses

Portuguese Liga 3
Vitória de Sernache
1:3
Full time
CF Os Belenenses

Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses in Portuguese Liga 3 ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · CF Os Belenenses at 41.1% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Vitória de Sernache X 2 · CF Os Belenenses Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 41.3% 29.2% 29.6% Home win · Vitória de Sernache ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 35.8% 23.1% 41.1% Away win · CF Os Belenenses ✔ Correct
Final score 1:3 Away win · CF Os Belenenses
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 5.10 on a Vitória de Sernache win, 3.44 on the draw and 1.62 on a CF Os Belenenses win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Vitória de Sernache win 5.10 5.30 Pinnacle 19.6% 35.8%
Draw 3.44 3.62 Pinnacle 29.1% 23.1%
CF Os Belenenses win 1.62 1.63 Pinnacle 61.7% 41.1%
Over 2.5 goals 2.06 2.12 Pinnacle 48.5% 52.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.70 1.75 Bet365 58.8% 47.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.98 1.99 Marathonbet 50.5% 54.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.71 1.75 William Hill 58.5% 45.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:19 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses

  1. 43′Nuno Tomas · Goal
  2. 55′A. Dias · Goal (assist: Dudu)
  3. 62′ · Yellow card
  4. 66′ · Yellow card
  5. 67′A. Dias · Substitution (off: Lucas Daniel)
  6. 69′Bruninho · Goal
  7. 87′ · Yellow card
  8. 88′J. Oliveira · Goal
  9. 90+1′T. Moninhas · Yellow card
  10. 90+5′ · Yellow card
  11. 90+5′ · Yellow card

Form and head-to-head: Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses

Vitória de Sernache

LWLDL
  • ACaldas0–2L
  • ANazarenos3–0W
  • AOliveirense2–3L
  • HSC Covilha0–0D
  • AMafra0–5L

CF Os Belenenses

WWWWW
  • HAtlético CP1–0W
  • ALusitano Évora 19112–1W
  • HUnião Santarém5–0W
  • ALouletano3–1W
  • HCaldas1–0W

Portuguese Liga 3 standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Varzim 3 3 0 0 +5 9 WWW
1 CF Os Belenenses 3 3 0 0 +8 9 WWW
2 Paredes 3 2 0 1 +2 6 LWW
2 Atlético CP 3 2 1 0 +4 7 WDW
3 AD Marco 09 3 2 0 1 +2 6 WLW
3 Oliveirense 3 1 2 0 +1 5 WDD
4 Fafe 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
4 Lusitano Évora 1911 3 1 1 1 0 4 WDL
5 Guimaraes B 3 1 1 1 0 4 DWL
5 Louletano 3 1 1 1 0 4 WLD
6 Vianense 3 1 1 1 0 4 LWD
6 SC Covilha 3 1 1 1 -1 4 LDW
7 Leça 3 1 1 1 -1 4 WLD
7 Mafra 3 1 1 1 +4 4 LDW
8 Trofense 3 1 0 2 -2 3 WLL
8 Caldas 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LDL
9 São João Ver 3 0 1 2 -3 1 LLD
9 Vitória de Sernache 3 0 1 2 -6 1 LDL
10 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 0 3 -5 0 LLL
10 União Santarém 3 0 1 2 -7 1 LDL

Match information: Vitória de Sernache v CF Os Belenenses

Kick-off
·
Competition
Portuguese Liga 3
Round
Regular Season – 4