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Waalwijk v NAC Breda

Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk
4:2
Full time
NAC Breda

Waalwijk v NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie ended 4:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Waalwijk at 41.7% - the match finished 4:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Waalwijk X 2 · NAC Breda Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 42.3% 22.5% 35.2% Home win · Waalwijk ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.7% 25.7% 32.6% Home win · Waalwijk ✔ Correct
Final score 4:2 Home win · Waalwijk
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.85 on a Waalwijk win, 3.70 on the draw and 2.24 on a NAC Breda win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Waalwijk win 2.85 2.88 Pinnacle 35.1% 41.7%
Draw 3.70 3.87 Pinnacle 27% 25.7%
NAC Breda win 2.24 2.25 Pinnacle 44.6% 32.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.46 1.48 Bet365 68.5% 62.5%
Under 2.5 goals 2.55 2.69 Pinnacle 39.2% 37.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.42 1.44 William Hill 70.4% 61.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.65 2.70 BetVictor 37.7% 38.1%
Updated: 04.09.2026 22:41 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

  1. 26′Rio·Hillen · Own goal
  2. 27′Leo Greiml · Yellow card
  3. 45′Rio·Hillen · Substitution (off: Mylan Brouwers)
  4. 45′Paul Gladon · Substitution (off: Gabriel Osei Misehouy)
  5. 45′Boyd Lucassen · Substitution (off: Mohamed Bouchouari)
  6. 45′Maximilien Balard · Substitution (off: Brahim Ghalidi)
  7. 54′Loek Postma · Yellow card
  8. 56′Thijs van Leeuwen · Goal (assist: Juan Familia-Castillo)
  9. 64′Mohamed Nassoh · Goal (assist: Gabriel Osei Misehouy)
  10. 66′Brahim Ghalidi · Substitution (off: Imran Nazih)
  11. 68′Loek Postma · Substitution (off: R. van Hedel)
  12. 68′Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela · Substitution (off: Yoram van der Veen)
  13. 69′Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela · Yellow card
  14. 75′F. Al Mazyani · Goal (assist: Yoram van der Veen)
  15. 79′Mohamed Nassoh · Yellow card
  16. 79′Jochem Nap · Substitution (off: Jesse van de Haar)
  17. 79′Ryan Fage · Substitution (off: Azzedine Dkidak)
  18. 83′Mohamed Nassoh · Goal
  19. 90+1′Finn Stokkers · Substitution (off: Sven van der Plas)
  20. 90+3′Jordy de Wijs · Goal (assist: Azzedine Dkidak)

Match statistics: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

Statistic Waalwijk NAC Breda
Possession 55% 45%
Shots on target 4 6
Total shots 14 16
Shots off target 7 8
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 3 4
Fouls 17 8
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 1
Red cards 0 1
Saves 4 1
Passes 472 396

Line-ups: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

Waalwijk 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 N. Schiks 6.6
  2. 4 L. van Gelderen 6.6
  3. 5 Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo 7.5
  4. 6 L. Postma 6.3
  5. 7 R. Fage 6.3
  6. 8 J. Nap 6.4
  7. 10 T. van Leeuwen 7.4
  8. 20 Keyan Varela 5.9
  9. 27 F. Stokkers 6.4
  10. 30 J. de Wijs 7.5
  11. 33 F. Al Mazyani 7.9
Substitutes (12)
  1. 3 S. van der Plas
  2. 9 J. van de Haar 6.7
  3. 11 Yorem van der Veen 6.9
  4. 13 Xander Mulder
  5. 16 M. Spenkelink
  6. 17 R. Kuijpers
  7. 18 R. van Hedel 6.0
  8. 19 H. van Gemert
  9. 24 A. Dkidak 6.0
  10. 25 N. Bakboord
  11. 42 B. Kemmeren
  12. 55 N. Held

NAC Breda 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 M. Verrips 5.7
  2. 2 B. Lucassen 5.9
  3. 4 L. Greiml 4.8
  4. 6 M. Balard 5.5
  5. 8 F. Oldrup Jensen 6.4
  6. 9 M. Soumano 6.6
  7. 10 M. Nassoh 8.8
  8. 12 J. Van den Bergh 6.0
  9. 19 P. Gladon 6.8
  10. 22 R. Hillen 4.8
  11. 78 J. Van Hecke 6.4
Substitutes (10)
  1. 5 J. Candelaria
  2. 11 G. Misehouy 6.2
  3. 17 M. Bouchouari 5.8
  4. 23 R. Kortsmit
  5. 26 P. Reulen
  6. 31 K. Lamprou
  7. 32 R. van Aarst
  8. 34 I. Nazih 5.8
  9. 35 M. Brouwers 6.1
  10. 55 B. Ghalidi 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

Waalwijk

WDDDD
  • AJong Ajax2–0W
  • HJong PSV U212–2D
  • AHelmond Sport1–1D
  • HDordrecht2–2D
  • AVitesse1–1D

NAC Breda

LDWLW
  • HJong Utrecht2–3L
  • ARoda2–2D
  • HJong Ajax3–2W
  • HVVV Venlo0–2L
  • AFC OSS2–1W

Managers: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

C. Hoefkens
NAC BredaManagerC. Hoefkens

Match information: Waalwijk v NAC Breda

Kick-off
·
Competition
Eerste Divisie
Round
Regular Season – 5
Venue
Mandemakers Stadion
City
Waalwijk
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
7,508