Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg in III Liga – Group 1 ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Warta Sieradz at 44.2% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Warta Sieradz X 2 · Olimpia Elbląg Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.3% 22.2% 26.5% Home win · Warta Sieradz ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.2% 25.3% 30.5% Home win · Warta Sieradz ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Warta Sieradz ✔ Correct
Final score 4:1 Home win · Warta Sieradz
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.66 on a Warta Sieradz win, 3.74 on the draw and 4.18 on a Olimpia Elbląg win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Warta Sieradz win 1.66 1.75 Betfair 60.2% 44.2%
Draw 3.74 3.90 Betfair 26.7% 25.3%
Olimpia Elbląg win 4.18 4.58 1xBet 23.9% 30.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.58 1.62 Bet365 63.3% 63.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.16 2.25 Bet365 46.3% 36.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.58 1.60 Unibet 63.3% 62.2%
Both teams to score - No 2.15 2.25 BetVictor 46.5% 37.8%
Updated: 04.09.2026 16:40 · Average odds across 11 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg

  1. 29′T. Swedrowski · Goal
  2. 31′D. Wierzba · Own goal
  3. 45+2′Joao Criciuma · Goal
  4. 48′D. Wierzba · Red card
  5. 50′T. Swedrowski · Goal
  6. 60′B. Krecichwost · Goal

Form and head-to-head: Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz

WLLWD
  • APolonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1W
  • ASwit1–2L
  • HZąbkovia Ząbki0–4L
  • ATroszyn4–1W
  • HJagiellonia II2–2D

Olimpia Elbląg

WLDLW
  • HPelikan Łowicz1–0W
  • HWigry Suwałki1–3L
  • AMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–2D
  • HWidzew II0–2L
  • AOlimpia Zambrów2–1W

III Liga – Group 1 standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Weszlo 7 6 1 0 +14 19 WDWWW
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 7 4 2 1 +9 14 WDDWW
3 Wisła Płock II 7 4 2 1 +5 14 WWLDD
4 Widzew II 7 4 1 2 +7 13 LWWWD
5 Pelikan Łowicz 7 4 1 2 +2 13 WLDLW
6 Wigry Suwałki 7 3 3 1 +3 12 LWDDW
7 Jagiellonia II 7 3 3 1 +1 12 WDLWD
8 Swit 7 3 2 2 +2 11 LWDLD
9 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 7 3 1 3 +1 10 LDWWW
10 Warta Sieradz 7 3 1 3 +1 10 WLLWD
11 Ząbkovia Ząbki 7 3 1 3 -2 10 LWWDL
12 Olimpia Zambrów 7 3 0 4 -4 9 LLWWL
13 Olimpia Elbląg 7 2 1 4 -5 7 LLDLW
14 ŁKS Łódź II 7 2 0 5 -4 6 WWLLL
15 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 7 1 2 4 -5 5 WDLLD
16 Troszyn 7 1 2 4 -9 5 WDDLL
17 Mławianka Mława 7 1 1 5 -9 4 LLDLL
18 Łomża 7 0 2 5 -7 2 LLDDL

Match information: Warta Sieradz v Olimpia Elbląg

Kick-off
·
Competition
III Liga – Group 1
Round
Group I – 7