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Zambia v Togo

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Zambia
2:0
Full time
Togo

Zambia v Togo in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Zambia v Togo

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Togo at 52.0% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Zambia X 2 · Togo Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 33.9% 29.7% 36.4% Away win · Togo ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 26.2% 21.8% 52.0% Away win · Togo ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Togo ✘ Missed
Final score 2:0 Home win · Zambia
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.94 on a Zambia win, 3.03 on the draw and 3.92 on a Togo win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Zambia win 1.94 2.02 Betano 51.5% 26.2%
Draw 3.03 3.25 Bet365 33% 21.8%
Togo win 3.92 4.11 Pinnacle 25.5% 52%
Over 2.5 goals 2.50 2.56 Pinnacle 40% 56%
Under 2.5 goals 1.46 1.50 Bet365 68.5% 44%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.18 2.25 Bet365 45.9% 54.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.61 1.65 William Hill 62.1% 45.5%
Updated: 29.09.2026 13:30 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Zambia v Togo

  1. 2′A. Kangwanda · Goal (assist: Fashion Sakala)
  2. 45′Mathews Banda · Yellow card
  3. 45+6′Abdoul Sabourh Bode · Yellow card
  4. 45′samsondin ouro · Substitution (off: Kodjo Jean Claude)
  5. 45′Obino Chisala · Substitution (off: Joseph Liteta)
  6. 56′Miguel Changa Chaiwa · Substitution (off: Owen Tembo)
  7. 57′Abdoul Sabourh Bode · Substitution (off: Atte youssifou)
  8. 64′David Simukonda · Substitution (off: Lameck Banda)
  9. 64′Loic·Bessile · Substitution (off: Laba Kodjo)
  10. 72′Kingstone Mutandwa · Substitution (off: Eliya Mandanji)
  11. 73′Fashion Sakala · Substitution (off: Ghampani Lungu)
  12. 74′Charles Abi · Substitution (off: Zuberu Sharani)
  13. 76′Patrice Neveu · Yellow card
  14. 90′Owen Tembo · Yellow card
  15. 90+5′Eliya Mandanji · Goal

Match statistics: Zambia v Togo

Statistic Zambia Togo
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 3 1
Total shots 10 12
Shots off target 4 6
Blocked shots 3 5
Corners 7 5
Fouls 17 12
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 2 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 2
Passes 240 375

Line-ups: Zambia v Togo

Zambia 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 M. Chaiwa 7.0
  2. 7 K. Mutandwa 6.2
  3. 10 F. Sakala 7.3
  4. 15 M. Banda 6.1
  5. 21 Dominic Chanda 7.1
  6. 22 D. Hamansenya 6.9
  7. 28 David Simukonda 6.6
Substitutes (4)
  1. 9 L. Banda 7.2
  2. 23 Pascal Phiri
  3. 24 G. Lungu 6.4
  4. 26 J. Liteta 7.1

Togo 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 2 K. Boma 7.1
  2. 3 L. Bessilé 6.7
  3. 5 S. Nador 7.0
  4. 6 S. Ouro 6.1
  5. 10 K. Denkey 6.9
  6. 11 C. Abi 5.9
  7. 16 M. Barcola 6.7
  8. 17 D. Karim 6.4
  9. 19 H. Koudossou 6.3
  10. 21 D. Dakonam 6.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 S. Mensah
  2. 4 S. Zuberu 6.3
  3. 7 P. Nadjombe
  4. 9 K. Laba 6.6
  5. 14 M. Ouro-Tagba
  6. 15 K. Aziangbe 6.4
  7. 18 I. Akakpo
  8. 20 S. Fofana
  9. 22 G. Akueson

Form and head-to-head: Zambia v Togo

Zambia

LDLDD

Togo

WWDWD

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Malawi 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
3 Angola 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Managers: Zambia v Togo

M. Sichone
ZambiaManagerM. Sichone
P. Neveu
TogoManagerP. Neveu

Match information: Zambia v Togo

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2
City
Ndola
Surface
grass
Capacity
49,800