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Arouca v Marítimo

Liga Portugal
Arouca
2:1
Full time
Marítimo

Arouca v Marítimo in Liga Portugal ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Arouca v Marítimo

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Arouca at 40.5% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Arouca X 2 · Marítimo Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 48.9% 24.4% 26.6% Home win · Arouca ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 40.5% 26.6% 32.8% Home win · Arouca ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Arouca ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Arouca
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.17 on a Arouca win, 3.23 on the draw and 3.38 on a Marítimo win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Arouca win 2.17 2.22 1xBet 46.1% 40.5%
Draw 3.23 3.37 1xBet 31% 26.6%
Marítimo win 3.38 3.59 Pinnacle 29.6% 32.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.09 2.13 1xBet 47.8% 55.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.73 1.78 Pinnacle 57.8% 44.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.82 1.85 William Hill 54.9% 55.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.91 2.00 Betfair 52.4% 44.8%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Arouca v Marítimo

  1. 27′Martín Tejón · Goal
  2. 44′Espen van Ee · Goal (assist: Alfonso Trezza)
  3. 44′Raphael Guzzo · Yellow card

Match statistics: Arouca v Marítimo

Statistic Arouca Marítimo
Possession 67% 33%
Shots on target 2 3
Total shots 11 5
Shots off target 7 1
Blocked shots 2 1
Corners 1 3
Fouls 3 3
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 1
Passes 313 159

Line-ups: Arouca v Marítimo

Arouca 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 José Fontán 6.6
  2. 6 E. van Ee 8.2
  3. 7 N. Djouahra 6.4
  4. 8 T. Fukui 7.0
  5. 10 Pablo Gozálbez 6.5
  6. 12 I. de Arruabarrena 6.6
  7. 15 Javi Sánchez 6.9
  8. 17 Barbero 6.3
  9. 18 O. Lebedenko 6.4
  10. 19 A. Trezza 6.8
  11. 28 Tiago Esgaio 6.7
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 J. Vinarčík
  2. 4 Diogo Monteiro
  3. 5 B. Popović
  4. 9 F. Mayulu
  5. 14 Lee Hyun-Ju
  6. 21 Mateo Flores
  7. 23 D. Nandín
  8. 24 B. Mansilla
  9. 37 Mario Climent
  10. 71 M. Duarte
  11. 77 S. Park
  12. 89 Pedro Santos

Marítimo 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Igor Julião 6.2
  2. 4 Rafael Fernandes 6.6
  3. 6 Rodrigo Andrade 6.4
  4. 10 Martín Tejón 7.5
  5. 13 Alfonso Pastor 6.1
  6. 14 Raphael Guzzo 6.0
  7. 17 Adrián Butzke 6.7
  8. 18 V. Danilović 6.3
  9. 23 Paulo Henrique 6.4
  10. 35 B. Limbombe 5.9
  11. 44 Romain Correia 6.4
Substitutes (10)
  1. 1 Gonçalo Tabuaço
  2. 5 Nilton Varela
  3. 16 F. Silva
  4. 21 I. Alani
  5. 22 G. Szalai
  6. 27 S. Bamba
  7. 30 Fran Vieites
  8. 66 I. Ayuma
  9. 68 N. Batista
  10. 90 Maurice Osei Boakye

Form and head-to-head: Arouca v Marítimo

Arouca

LDLWW

Marítimo

LLDWW

Liga Portugal standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 +13 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6 5 1 0 +17 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6 4 2 0 +9 14 DWWWW
4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0 +7 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6 3 1 2 +3 10 LDWLW
6 Estrela Amadora 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5 3 1 1 +2 10 WLWWD
8 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WWLDL
9 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 0 7 LLDWW
10 Marítimo 6 2 1 3 -4 7 LLLDW
11 Moreirense 6 2 1 3 -6 7 WLLWL
12 Alverca 6 1 2 3 -3 5 WLDLD
13 Famalicão 6 0 4 2 -2 4 DDDLL
14 Vitória Guimarães 6 1 1 4 -3 4 LDLWL
15 Nacional 6 1 1 4 -4 4 LLLLW
16 Rio Ave 6 1 1 4 -9 4 DLLWL
17 Estoril 6 0 2 4 -6 2 LDLLL
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 -14 1 LDLLL

Match information: Arouca v Marítimo

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Portugal
Round
4
City
Arouca
Surface
grass
Capacity
5,600