Porto v Arouca in Liga Portugal ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Porto v Arouca
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Porto at 59.7% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Porto
X
2 · Arouca
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
58.5%
21.8%
19.7%
Home win · Porto
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
59.7%
22.4%
17.9%
Home win · Porto
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Porto
✔ Correct
Final score
2:0
Home win · Porto
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.25 on a Porto win, 5.88 on the draw and 11.18 on a Arouca win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Porto win
1.25
1.29Betano
80%
59.7%
Draw
5.88
6.591xBet
17%
22.4%
Arouca win
11.18
15.5010Bet
8.9%
17.9%
Over 2.5 goals
1.64
1.70Betano
61%
53.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.22
2.3010Bet
45%
46.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.18
2.35Unibet
45.9%
53.3%
Both teams to score - No
1.62
1.67Bet365
61.7%
46.7%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.