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Ascoli v Carrarese

Serie B
Ascoli
1:1
Full time
Carrarese

Ascoli v Carrarese in Serie B The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Ascoli v Carrarese

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ascoli at 62.7% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Ascoli X 2 · Carrarese Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.5% 31.1% 30.4% Home win · Ascoli ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 62.7% 20.0% 17.3% Home win · Ascoli ✘ Missed
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Ascoli ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.92 on a Ascoli win, 3.28 on the draw and 4.06 on a Carrarese win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Ascoli win 1.92 2.00 10Bet 52.1% 62.7%
Draw 3.28 3.52 Pinnacle 30.5% 20%
Carrarese win 4.06 4.54 Pinnacle 24.6% 17.3%
Over 2.5 goals 2.17 2.35 10Bet 46.1% 55.2%
Under 2.5 goals 1.67 1.76 Marathonbet 59.9% 44.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.93 2.05 Bet365 51.8% 50.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.79 1.87 Betfair 55.9% 49.5%
Updated: 29.08.2026 16:05 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Ascoli v Carrarese

  1. 26′S. D'Uffizi · Yellow card
  2. 33′F. Abiuso · Yellow card
  3. 47′F. Ruggeri · Yellow card
  4. 51′F. Abiuso · Goal (assist: J. Rouhi)
  5. 53′G. Corradini · Yellow card
  6. 58′T. Milanese · Substitution (off: A. Oliveri)
  7. 58′S. Perciun · Substitution (off: D. Bolsius)
  8. 63′M. Cisse · Substitution (off: G. Marconi)
  9. 63′N. Belloni · Substitution (off: T. Guercio)
  10. 68′N. Schiavi · Yellow card
  11. 69′M. A. Chakir · Substitution (off: G. Gori)
  12. 70′A. Silipo · Substitution (off: G. De Pieri)
  13. 71′F. Reale · Substitution (off: J. Martini)
  14. 79′F. Abiuso · Substitution (off: M. Finotto)
  15. 80′G. Parlanti · Substitution (off: L. Topalovic)
  16. 82′G. Gori · Goal (assist: G. De Pieri)
  17. 82′G. Gori · Yellow card
  18. 82′S. D'Uffizi · Substitution (off: M. Brunori)
  19. 85′A. Guiebre · Yellow card

Match statistics: Ascoli v Carrarese

Statistic Ascoli Carrarese
Possession 72% 28%
Shots on target 6 4
Total shots 19 18
Shots off target 9 11
Blocked shots 4 3
Corners 10 9
Fouls 10 13
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 4 3
Saves 3 4
Passes 567 213
Pass accuracy 90% 73%

Line-ups: Ascoli v Carrarese

Ascoli 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 S. Vitale 7.2
  2. 4 S. Damiani 7.3
  3. 7 A. Silipo 6.9
  4. 8 G. Corradini 7.5
  5. 11 S. Perciun 6.3
  6. 15 S. D'Uffizi 7.3
  7. 19 A. Guiébré 6.2
  8. 30 M. A. Chakir 6.6
  9. 33 N. Rizzo 7.2
  10. 62 T. Milanese 6.5
Substitutes (10)
  1. 3 M. Nicoletti
  2. 13 G. Acampora
  3. 14 A. Oliveri 7.2
  4. 18 L. Lo Scalzo
  5. 21 G. De Pieri 7.0
  6. 27 M. Ricci
  7. 32 F. Gattoni
  8. 35 G. Gori 7.7
  9. 45 G. Crespi
  10. 77 D. Bolsius 6.6

Carrarese 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 6 F. Oliana 6.3
  2. 7 N. Belloni 6.6
  3. 9 F. Abiuso 7.5
  4. 11 M. Cissé 6.2
  5. 12 G. Garofani 7.2
  6. 13 F. Ruggeri 6.3
  7. 18 Nicolás Schiavi 6.9
  8. 33 F. Reale 6.9
  9. 41 L. Romani 6.9
  10. 73 J. Rouhi 7.7
  11. 77 G. Parlanti 6.9
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 S. Pizzignacco
  2. 8 Y. Khafi
  3. 17 L. Topalović 6.3
  4. 19 V. Fiorillo
  5. 20 Gonçalo Esteves
  6. 28 J. Martini 6.2
  7. 32 M. Finotto 6.3
  8. 66 P. Pinelli
  9. 71 G. Baroncelli
  10. 72 F. Melegoni
  11. 78 Tommaso Guercio 5.9

Form and head-to-head: Ascoli v Carrarese

Ascoli

LWWLW

Carrarese

LLLL

Serie B standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Match information: Ascoli v Carrarese

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 2
City
Ascoli Piceno
Surface
grass
Capacity
12,461