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Padova v Ascoli

Serie B
Padova
1:0
Full time
Ascoli

Padova v Ascoli in Serie B ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Padova v Ascoli

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Ascoli at 39.9% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Padova X 2 · Ascoli Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.8% 27.1% 32.2% Home win · Padova ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 33.3% 26.8% 39.9% Away win · Ascoli ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Ascoli ✘ Missed
Final score 1:0 Home win · Padova
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.23 on a Padova win, 3.24 on the draw and 3.21 on a Ascoli win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Padova win 2.23 2.38 Pinnacle 44.8% 33.3%
Draw 3.24 3.40 Dafabet 30.9% 26.8%
Ascoli win 3.21 3.40 Dafabet 31.2% 39.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.15 2.25 Bet365 46.5% 51%
Under 2.5 goals 1.70 1.74 Marathonbet 58.8% 49%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.86 2.00 Bet365 53.8% 49.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.85 1.92 1xBet 54.1% 50.3%
Updated: 08.09.2026 05:14 · Average odds across 8 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Padova v Ascoli

  1. 33′N. Calabro · Yellow card
  2. 45′Marco Pompetti · Substitution (off: Nicolas Galazzi)
  3. 45′Francesco Di Mariano · Substitution (off: Matteo Cocchi)
  4. 53′Emanuele Zuelli · Yellow card
  5. 56′Christian Pastina · Substitution (off: Alessandro Capelli)
  6. 59′Giacomo De Pieri · Yellow card
  7. 59′Alessandro Dellavalle · Yellow card
  8. 60′Kevin Lasagna · Substitution (off: Gianluca Caprari)
  9. 62′Nicholas Rizzo · Yellow card
  10. 63′Nicolas Galazzi · Goal (assist: Matteo Cocchi)
  11. 71′Giacomo De Pieri · Substitution (off: Andrea·Silipo)
  12. 72′Don Bolsius · Substitution (off: Matteo Brunori)
  13. 72′amine chakir · Substitution (off: Gabriele Gori)
  14. 72′Tommaso Milanese · Substitution (off: Andrea Oliveri)
  15. 72′Kevin Varas · Substitution (off: Pietro Fusi)
  16. 77′Pietro Fusi · Yellow card
  17. 82′Samuele Damiani · Substitution (off: Gennao Acampora)
  18. 90′Alessandro Capelli · Yellow card

Match statistics: Padova v Ascoli

Statistic Padova Ascoli
Possession 35% 65%
Shots on target 4 5
Total shots 11 20
Shots off target 5 12
Blocked shots 2 3
Corners 2 8
Fouls 22 12
Offsides 3 2
Yellow cards 4 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 3
Passes 238 442

Line-ups: Padova v Ascoli

Padova 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 5 M. Lovato 7.0
  2. 7 K. Varas 6.6
  3. 9 L. Moro 6.3
  4. 14 M. Pompetti 7.4
  5. 15 K. Lasagna 6.5
  6. 21 E. Zuelli 6.5
  7. 22 A. Sorrentino 7.6
  8. 23 F. Di Mariano 7.2
  9. 24 L. Carissoni 6.7
  10. 27 Alessandro Dellavalle 7.0
  11. 58 C. Pastina 7.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 L. Mouquet
  2. 6 G. Giunti
  3. 8 P. Fusi 6.6
  4. 10 G. Caprari 7.1
  5. 11 A. Seghetti
  6. 17 A. Capelli 6.8
  7. 18 E. Silletti
  8. 20 M. Bortolussi
  9. 25 N. Galazzi 8.1
  10. 32 F. Sgarbi
  11. 34 M. Cocchi 7.5
  12. 72 C. Faedo

Ascoli 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 S. Vitale 6.8
  2. 4 S. Damiani 7.2
  3. 8 G. Corradini 6.4
  4. 9 A. Chakir 6.2
  5. 15 S. D'Uffizi 7.1
  6. 19 A. Guiébré 6.5
  7. 21 G. De Pieri 6.1
  8. 30 M. Curado 6.9
  9. 33 N. Rizzo 6.5
  10. 62 T. Milanese 6.9
  11. 77 D. Bolsius 6.7
Substitutes (11)
  1. 3 M. Nicoletti
  2. 7 A. Silipo 6.6
  3. 11 S. Perciun
  4. 13 G. Acampora 6.3
  5. 14 A. Oliveri 6.3
  6. 17 F. Diamanti
  7. 18 L. Lo Scalzo
  8. 27 M. Ricci
  9. 32 F. Gattoni
  10. 35 G. Gori 6.7
  11. 45 G. Crespi

Form and head-to-head: Padova v Ascoli

Padova

LDW

Ascoli

WDWLW

Serie B standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Managers: Padova v Ascoli

N. Calabro
PadovaManagerN. Calabro

Match information: Padova v Ascoli

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 4