Astana v Yelimay Semey

Astana v Yelimay Semey in Kazakh Premier League ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Astana v Yelimay Semey

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Astana at 56.1% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Astana X 2 · Yelimay Semey Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 55.4% 25.4% 19.2% Home win · Astana ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.1% 20.8% 23.1% Home win · Astana ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Astana ✔ Correct
Final score 4:0 Home win · Astana
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.60 on a Astana win, 3.76 on the draw and 4.73 on a Yelimay Semey win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Astana win 1.60 1.63 1xBet 62.5% 56.1%
Draw 3.76 3.96 1xBet 26.6% 20.8%
Yelimay Semey win 4.73 5.06 1xBet 21.1% 23.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.66 1.67 Bet365 60.2% 54.6%
Under 2.5 goals 2.15 2.16 Pinnacle 46.5% 45.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.66 1.67 William Hill 60.2% 47.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.07 2.10 William Hill 48.3% 52.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:10 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Astana v Yelimay Semey

  1. 29′A. Tulubay · Yellow card
  2. 40′I. Basic · Goal (assist: B. Islamkhan)
  3. 42′A. Ashirbek · Yellow card
  4. 45′I. Basic · Goal (assist: M. Tomasov)
  5. 46′I. Sviridov · Substitution (off: R. Murillo)
  6. 46′S. Basmanov · Substitution (off: M. Abrayev)
  7. 49′M. Tomasov · Goal (assist: R. Karimov)
  8. 58′China · Substitution (off: A. Zhaksylykov)
  9. 58′F. Placca · Substitution (off: R. Murtazaev)
  10. 61′A. Bakhtiyarov · Substitution (off: Z. Payruz)
  11. 65′H. Ilic · Yellow card
  12. 66′R. Karimov · Penalty
  13. 67′B. Islamkhan · Substitution (off: A. Beysebekov)
  14. 67′R. Karimov · Substitution (off: N. Buric)
  15. 69′K. Kazukolovas · Substitution (off: A. Kasym)
  16. 75′A. Zhumakhanov · Yellow card
  17. 80′A. Zhumakhanov · Substitution (off: A. Baygaliev)
  18. 82′D. Karaman · Substitution (off: A. Merkel)
  19. 90+2′M. Abrayev · Yellow card

Line-ups: Astana v Yelimay Semey

Astana 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Karlo Bartolec
  2. 3 Branimir Kalaica
  3. 5 Kipras Kazukolovas
  4. 7 Dinmukhamed Karaman
  5. 8 Ivan Bašić
  6. 9 Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
  7. 10 Marin Tomasov
  8. 11 Yan Vorogovskiy
  9. 72 Stanislav Basmanov
  10. 74 Mukhammejan Seisen
  11. 81 Ramazan Karimov
Substitutes (11)
  1. 4 Sanzhar Anuarov
  2. 6 Alibek Kasym
  3. 15 Abzal Beysebekov
  4. 17 Damir Marat
  5. 20 Nnamdi Ahanonu
  6. 21 Alexander Merkel
  7. 29 Nikola Burić
  8. 45 Ivan Miladinović
  9. 47 Maksat Abraev
  10. 93 Josip Čondrić
  11. 99 Danila Karpikov

Yelimay Semey 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 4 Adilbek Zhumakhanov
  2. 11 Ivan Sviridov
  3. 15 Maj Mittendorfer
  4. 17 Akmal Bakhtiyarov
  5. 20 Arsen Ashirbek
  6. 23 Hrvoje Ilić
  7. 26 Strahinja Tanasijević
  8. 32 Ivan Konovalov
  9. 44 Almas Tyulyubay
  10. 77 Euloge Fessou Placca
  11. 89 China
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 Egor Tsuprikov
  2. 2 Adi Adambaev
  3. 5 Marin Belančić
  4. 7 Roman Murtazaev
  5. 8 Miras Omatay
  6. 9 Roger Murillo
  7. 10 Zhan-Ali Payruz
  8. 14 Duván Palacios
  9. 18 Ramazan Orazov
  10. 19 Aybar Zhaksylykov
  11. 88 Asan Baygaliev

Form and head-to-head: Astana v Yelimay Semey

Astana

LWDWW
  • AOrdabasy0–1L
  • AAtyrau3–2W
  • AKyzyl-Zhar1–1D
  • HOkzhetpes2–1W
  • AUlytau2–0W

Yelimay Semey

WLDWD
  • HZhetysu2–1W
  • HKairat0–2L
  • AKaspiy2–2D
  • HIrtysh3–1W
  • AZhenys0–0D

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Astana wins: 0; draws: 1; Yelimay Semey wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Yelimay Semey 2–2 Astana Kazakh Premier League

Kazakh Premier League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Ordabasy 24 17 4 3 +29 55 LWWWW
2 Kairat 23 16 6 1 +32 54 WWWWW
3 Astana 23 13 6 4 +17 45 WWDWW
4 Okzhetpes 24 12 6 6 +5 42 WWWLW
5 Aktobe 24 11 5 8 +6 38 WLWDL
6 Yelimay Semey 23 8 8 7 -1 32 LLDWD
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 24 9 4 11 -3 31 WLWWL
8 Ulytau 24 8 7 9 -5 31 LWLDL
9 Zhenys 23 7 8 8 -3 29 LWWDL
10 Kaspiy 24 7 5 12 -9 26 LWDDL
11 Kyzyl-Zhar 24 6 6 12 -9 24 LLDDW
12 Atyrau 23 4 11 8 -6 23 WLLDD
13 Zhetysu 24 5 7 12 -16 22 WLLLD
14 Irtysh 23 4 8 11 -10 20 LWLLW
15 Kaisar 24 3 11 10 -12 20 LLLLD
16 Altay 24 4 8 12 -15 20 WLLDL

Managers: Astana v Yelimay Semey

Grigori Babayan
AstanaManagerGrigori Babayan
Andrey Karpovich
Yelimay SemeyManagerAndrey Karpovich

Match information: Astana v Yelimay Semey

Kick-off
·
Competition
Kazakh Premier League
Round
Regular Season – 25
Venue
Astana Arena
City
Astana
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
30,000