Ordabasy v Astana in Kazakh Premier League ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Ordabasy v Astana
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Ordabasy at 46.8% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Ordabasy
X
2 · Astana
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
50.2%
26.1%
23.7%
Home win · Ordabasy
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
46.8%
22.2%
31.0%
Home win · Ordabasy
✔ Correct
Final score
1:0
Home win · Ordabasy
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.22 on a Ordabasy win, 3.26 on the draw and 2.96 on a Astana win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Ordabasy win
2.22
2.571xBet
45%
46.8%
Draw
3.26
3.35Unibet
30.7%
22.2%
Astana win
2.96
3.25Unibet
33.8%
31%
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
1.931xBet
54.1%
67.1%
Under 2.5 goals
1.89
1.94Unibet
52.9%
32.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.67
1.721xBet
59.9%
57.5%
Both teams to score - No
2.02
2.021xBet
49.5%
42.5%
Updated: 08.09.2026 17:17 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Ordabasy v Astana
10′🟨A. Kasym · Yellow card
29′🟨K. Kazukolovas · Yellow card
41′🟨K. Bartolec · Yellow card
46′🔄K. Bartolec · Substitution (off: A. Merkel)
60′🟨A. Amanovic · Yellow card
61′🔄B. Islamkhan · Substitution (off: N. Buric)
62′🔄M. Abrayev · Substitution (off: D. Marat)
64′🟨S. Maliy · Yellow card
65′🟨A. Merkel · Yellow card
67′🔄Leo Natel · Substitution (off: A. Nurymbet)
67′🔄M. Capatina · Substitution (off: T. Keita)
74′🔄B. Kalaica · Substitution (off: I. Miladinovic)
