Atalanta v Cagliari in Italian Serie A ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Atalanta v Cagliari
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Atalanta at 44.7% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Atalanta
X
2 · Cagliari
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
51.7%
25.6%
22.7%
Home win · Atalanta
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
44.7%
23.8%
31.5%
Home win · Atalanta
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Cagliari
✔ Correct
Final score
1:2
Away win · Cagliari
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.55 on a Atalanta win, 3.97 on the draw and 6.05 on a Cagliari win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Atalanta win
1.55
1.611xBet
64.5%
44.7%
Draw
3.97
4.20Pinnacle
25.2%
23.8%
Cagliari win
6.05
6.6010Bet
16.5%
31.5%
Over 2.5 goals
1.92
1.981xBet
52.1%
51.1%
Under 2.5 goals
1.89
1.961xBet
52.9%
48.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.97
2.05Unibet
50.8%
53.5%
Both teams to score - No
1.77
1.8010Bet
56.5%
46.5%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Atalanta v Cagliari
19′⚽P. Mendy · Goal (assist: M. Adopo)
41′⚽G. Scamacca · Goal (assist: C. De Ketelaere)
57′🔄J. Fazzini · Substitution (off: A. Fadera)
61′⚽D. Maldini · Penalty
68′🔄S. Kolasinac · Substitution (off: L. Bernasconi)
68′🔄G. Scamacca · Substitution (off: N. Krstovic)
68′🔄J. Pedro · Substitution (off: Y. Sugawara)
77′🔄L. Samardzic · Substitution (off: G. Raspadori)