Atalanta v Sassuolo in Italian Serie A ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Atalanta v Sassuolo
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Atalanta at 46.7% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Atalanta
X
2 · Sassuolo
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
43.1%
28.6%
28.3%
Home win · Atalanta
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
46.7%
24.2%
29.1%
Home win · Atalanta
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · Atalanta
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Atalanta
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.54 on a Atalanta win, 4.20 on the draw and 5.93 on a Sassuolo win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Atalanta win
1.54
1.601xBet
64.9%
46.7%
Draw
4.20
4.401xBet
23.8%
24.2%
Sassuolo win
5.93
6.191xBet
16.9%
29.1%
Over 2.5 goals
1.71
1.771xBet
58.5%
55.6%
Under 2.5 goals
2.15
2.221xBet
46.5%
44.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.76
1.80Bet365
56.8%
53.6%
Both teams to score - No
1.98
2.05Betfair
50.5%
46.4%
Updated: 23.08.2026 14:45 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Atalanta v Sassuolo
6′⚽G. Raspadori · Goal (assist: G. Gaetano)
55′⚽C. Odenthal · Goal
60′🔄N. Zalewski · Substitution (off: C. De Ketelaere)
60′🔄G. Scamacca · Substitution (off: N. Krstovic)
60′🔄M. Pasalic · Substitution (off: L. Samardzic)
64′🔄V. Adzic · Substitution (off: K. Thorstvedt)
65′⚽N. Krstovic · Goal
71′🔄L. Bernasconi · Substitution (off: S. Kolasinac)