Basel v Lugano in Super League ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Basel v Lugano
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Lugano at 68.6% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Basel
X
2 · Lugano
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
27.4%
21.4%
51.2%
Away win · Lugano
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
14.8%
16.7%
68.6%
Away win · Lugano
✔ Correct
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Lugano
✔ Correct
Final score
1:3
Away win · Lugano
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.77 on a Basel win, 3.59 on the draw and 2.33 on a Lugano win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Basel win
2.77
2.88Pinnacle
36.1%
14.8%
Draw
3.59
3.73Pinnacle
27.9%
16.7%
Lugano win
2.33
2.40Pinnacle
42.9%
68.6%
Over 2.5 goals
1.58
1.61Pinnacle
63.3%
70.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.34
2.42Pinnacle
42.7%
29.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.47
1.50Bet365
68%
64.6%
Both teams to score - No
2.50
2.55BetVictor
40%
35.4%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:20 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.