Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv in Europa Conference League ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Lugano at 59.4% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Lugano
X
2 · Maccabi Tel Aviv
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
63.6%
20.5%
15.9%
Home win · Lugano
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
59.4%
19.1%
21.5%
Home win · Lugano
✔ Correct
Final score
2:1
Home win · Lugano
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.96 on a Lugano win, 3.46 on the draw and 3.52 on a Maccabi Tel Aviv win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Lugano win
1.96
2.03Dafabet
51%
59.4%
Draw
3.46
3.761xBet
28.9%
19.1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
3.52
3.761xBet
28.4%
21.5%
Over 2.5 goals
1.89
1.95SBO
52.9%
62.7%
Under 2.5 goals
1.86
1.921xBet
53.8%
37.3%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.74
1.80Bet365
57.5%
58%
Both teams to score - No
1.99
2.05Betfair
50.3%
42%
Updated: 20.08.2026 14:33 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv
31′⚽K. Behrens · Goal (assist: Y. Cimignani)
47′⚽I. Shahar · Goal (assist: R. Revivo)
54′⚽A. Grgic · Penalty
57′🔄T. Asante · Substitution (off: N. Ben Harush)
57′🔄E. Sokler · Substitution (off: S. Abu Farkhi)
71′🔄D. Dos Santos · Substitution (off: M. Marques)
71′🔄K. Behrens · Substitution (off: D. Moncada)
81′🔄R. Steffen · Substitution (off: E. Pihlstrom)
89′🔄Y. Cimignani · Substitution (off: A. Kendouci)