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Bristol Rovers v Newport County

English League Two
Bristol Rovers
5:3
Full time
Newport County

Bristol Rovers v Newport County in English League Two ended 5:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Bristol Rovers at 38.0% - the match finished 5:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Bristol Rovers X 2 · Newport County Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.9% 29.7% 24.5% Home win · Bristol Rovers ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 38.0% 24.8% 37.2% Home win · Bristol Rovers ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Newport County ✘ Missed
Final score 5:3 Home win · Bristol Rovers
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.62 on a Bristol Rovers win, 3.87 on the draw and 4.96 on a Newport County win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Bristol Rovers win 1.62 1.69 10Bet 61.7% 38%
Draw 3.87 4.28 Pinnacle 25.8% 24.8%
Newport County win 4.96 5.50 Bet365 20.2% 37.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.80 1.85 Pinnacle 55.6% 55.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.96 2.00 Betfair 51% 44.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.79 1.87 Betfair 55.9% 59%
Both teams to score - No 1.91 1.96 Unibet 52.4% 41%
Updated: 22.08.2026 08:40 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

  1. 1′H. Biggins · Goal (assist: C. Doidge)
  2. 8′C. Mola · Yellow card
  3. 14′S. Evans · Yellow card
  4. 45+1′B. Purrington · Goal
  5. 53′F. Cavegn · Goal (assist: T. James)
  6. 57′L. Jenkins · Own goal
  7. 61′S. Gwengwe · Goal (assist: C. Doidge)
  8. 74′C. Evans · Substitution (off: M. Smith)
  9. 74′T. Davies · Substitution (off: A. Merritt)
  10. 74′C. Doidge · Substitution (off: D. Sassi)
  11. 74′B. Kamwa · Goal (assist: B. Young)
  12. 75′B. Kamwa · Yellow card
  13. 76′C. Brennan · Yellow card
  14. 79′B. Kamwa · Substitution (off: J. Aitchison)
  15. 85′S. Forde · Substitution (off: R. Russell-Denny)
  16. 85′T. James · Substitution (off: R. Smallwood)
  17. 85′Y. Bamba · Substitution (off: C. Jarvis)
  18. 87′T. Leigh · Substitution (off: E. Harrison)
  19. 90+1′C. Jarvis · Goal (assist: A. Merritt)

Match statistics: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

Statistic Bristol Rovers Newport County
Possession 65% 35%
Shots on target 2 1
Total shots 4 2
Shots off target 2 1
Blocked shots 0 0
Fouls 3 3
Offsides 0 4
Yellow cards 1 0
Saves 0 2
Passes 145 79
Pass accuracy 62% 44%

Line-ups: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Brad Young 6.3
  2. 2 Tom James 6.3
  3. 4 Kofi Balmer 6.3
  4. 6 Clinton Mola 6.2
  5. 7 Shaqai Forde 6.7
  6. 10 Bobby Kamwa 6.2
  7. 14 Ben Purrington 6.2
  8. 22 Keenan Gough 6.5
  9. 24 Tommy Leigh 6.5
  10. 26 Riley Harbottle 6.2
  11. 29 Fabrizio Cavegn 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 8 Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny
  2. 9 Joe Quigley
  3. 11 Jack Aitchison
  4. 17 Ciaran Kelly
  5. 19 Ellis Harrison
  6. 21 Richard Smallwood
  7. 32 Charlie Binns

Newport County 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Jordan Wright 7.2
  2. 2 Cameron Evans 6.7
  3. 3 Thomas Davies 6.5
  4. 4 Kyle Cameron 6.7
  5. 5 Lee Jenkins 6.9
  6. 6 Ciaran Brennan 6.2
  7. 9 Shaquille Gwengwe 6.3
  8. 10 Harrison Biggins 7.5
  9. 20 Yahya Bamba 6.6
  10. 22 Cameron Norman 6.6
  11. 27 Christian Doidge 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 8 Matt Smith
  2. 12 Joe Thomas
  3. 17 Alfie Merritt
  4. 25 Jake Turner
  5. 29 Keenan Pattern
  6. 34 Dan Sassi
  7. 40 Cole Jarvis

Form and head-to-head: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

Bristol Rovers

LWWWD

Newport County

DLLDW

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

S. Evans
Bristol RoversManagerS. Evans
H. Mullins
Newport CountyManagerH. Mullins

Match information: Bristol Rovers v Newport County

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 2