LigaToday
Profile

Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

English League Two
Bristol Rovers
1:0
Full time
Rotherham

Bristol Rovers v Rotherham in English League Two ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Bristol Rovers at 49.1% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Bristol Rovers X 2 · Rotherham Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 54.0% 25.3% 20.7% Home win · Bristol Rovers ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.1% 22.9% 28.0% Home win · Bristol Rovers ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Bristol Rovers ✔ Correct
Final score 1:0 Home win · Bristol Rovers
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.71 on a Bristol Rovers win, 3.90 on the draw and 4.27 on a Rotherham win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Bristol Rovers win 1.71 1.75 Betfair 58.5% 49.1%
Draw 3.90 4.10 Dafabet 25.6% 22.9%
Rotherham win 4.27 4.48 Pinnacle 23.4% 28%
Over 2.5 goals 1.62 1.67 Unibet 61.7% 61.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.21 2.30 Pinnacle 45.2% 38.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.61 1.66 Unibet 62.1% 59.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.19 2.25 William Hill 45.7% 40.2%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

  1. 32′Tommy Leigh · Goal
  2. 45′Tommy Leigh · Substitution (off: Ellis Harrison)
  3. 51′Tom Bradshaw · Substitution (off: George Sebine)
  4. 57′Jayce Fitzgerald · Yellow card
  5. 59′Fabrizio Cavegn · Substitution (off: Jack Aitchison)
  6. 61′Jayce Fitzgerald · Substitution (off: Ossama Ashley)
  7. 61′brandon cover · Substitution (off: Kieran Ngwenya)
  8. 69′Bobby Kamwa · Substitution (off: Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny)
  9. 73′Clinton Mola · Yellow card
  10. 74′Josh Austerfield · Yellow card
  11. 78′Emmanuel Adegboyega · Substitution (off: Paul Mullin)
  12. 79′Jili Buyabu · Substitution (off: Aaron Nemane)
  13. 86′Shaqai Forde · Substitution (off: Philip Sanyaolu)
  14. 90+5′Kieran Ngwenya · Yellow card
  15. 90+6′A. Bruce · Red card
  16. 90+6′Steve Evans · Yellow card

Match statistics: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

Statistic Bristol Rovers Rotherham
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 5 2
Total shots 12 7
Shots off target 4 3
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 10 4
Fouls 9 9
Offsides 3 1
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 4
Passes 281 364

Line-ups: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Brad Young 6.9
  2. 2 T. James 7.2
  3. 4 K. Balmer 7.4
  4. 6 C. Mola 6.4
  5. 7 S. Forde 6.7
  6. 10 B. Kamwa 6.5
  7. 14 B. Purrington 6.6
  8. 21 R. Smallwood 6.6
  9. 24 T. Leigh 8.2
  10. 26 R. Harbottle 7.5
  11. 29 F. Cavegn 6.4
Substitutes (7)
  1. 5 A. Kilgour
  2. 8 R. Russell-Denny 7.1
  3. 9 J. Quigley
  4. 11 J. Aitchison 7.2
  5. 19 E. Harrison 6.9
  6. 27 P. Sanyaolu 7.0
  7. 32 Charlie Binns

Rotherham 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 T. Cann 6.9
  2. 3 E. Otoo 5.7
  3. 4 J. Austerfield 5.7
  4. 7 Fábio Tavares 6.7
  5. 9 T. Bradshaw 6.1
  6. 12 D. Hall 6.2
  7. 14 Sonny Aljofree 6.4
  8. 15 Jayce Fitzgerald 6.3
  9. 16 E. Adegboyega 5.9
  10. 24 J. Buyabu 6.3
  11. 28 Brandon Ashley Cover 6.4
Substitutes (7)
  1. 2 J. Rafferty
  2. 5 K. Ngwenya 5.8
  3. 6 O. Ashley 6.1
  4. 10 P. Mullin 6.5
  5. 13 J. Eyestone
  6. 19 George Sebine 6.0
  7. 23 A. Nemane 6.4

Form and head-to-head: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

Bristol Rovers

LWWDW

Rotherham

DDWDL

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

S. Evans
Bristol RoversManagerS. Evans
A. Bruce
RotherhamManagerA. Bruce

Match information: Bristol Rovers v Rotherham

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 5