Casa Pia v Porto in Liga Portugal ended 1:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Casa Pia v Porto
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Porto at 61.6% - the match finished 1:4, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Casa Pia
X
2 · Porto
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
30.3%
27.2%
42.5%
Away win · Porto
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
16.0%
22.4%
61.6%
Away win · Porto
✔ Correct
Final score
1:4
Away win · Porto
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 11.18 on a Casa Pia win, 5.34 on the draw and 1.26 on a Porto win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Casa Pia win
11.18
13.201xBet
8.9%
16%
Draw
5.34
6.081xBet
18.7%
22.4%
Porto win
1.26
1.30Unibet
79.4%
61.6%
Over 2.5 goals
1.77
1.83Betano
56.5%
45.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.02
2.091xBet
49.5%
55%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.32
2.42Betano
43.1%
38.6%
Both teams to score - No
1.54
1.5710Bet
64.9%
61.4%
Updated: 09.09.2026 17:24 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.