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Cheltenham v Grimsby

English League Two
Cheltenham
2:2
Full time
Grimsby

Cheltenham v Grimsby in English League Two ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Cheltenham v Grimsby

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Cheltenham at 43.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Cheltenham X 2 · Grimsby Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 53.6% 25.3% 21.1% Home win · Cheltenham ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.7% 21.4% 34.9% Home win · Cheltenham ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Grimsby ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.50 on a Cheltenham win, 3.52 on the draw and 1.96 on a Grimsby win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Cheltenham win 3.50 3.65 Dafabet 28.6% 43.7%
Draw 3.52 3.70 Betfair 28.4% 21.4%
Grimsby win 1.96 2.10 Betfair 51% 34.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.75 1.80 10Bet 57.1% 62.3%
Under 2.5 goals 2.02 2.10 Betfair 49.5% 37.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.67 William Hill 61.3% 53%
Both teams to score - No 2.14 2.25 Betfair 46.7% 47.1%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Cheltenham v Grimsby

  1. 12′Charlie McCann · Goal (assist: Jake Evans)
  2. 28′Jonathan Tomkinson · Yellow card
  3. 41′Andreas Weimann · Penalty
  4. 45′Charles Vernam · Substitution (off: Andy Cook)
  5. 45′Cian Doyle · Substitution (off: Mark Shelton)
  6. 47′Mark Shelton · Goal (assist: Harvey Rodgers)
  7. 64′Jake Evans · Substitution (off: Freddie willcox)
  8. 64′Andreas Weimann · Substitution (off: Jake Bickerstaff)
  9. 69′Sonny Finch · Substitution (off: Finn Cartwright)
  10. 69′Iwan Morgan · Substitution (off: Ryley Reynolds)
  11. 72′Jordan Shipley · Substitution (off: George Nurse)
  12. 79′Kieran Green · Yellow card
  13. 82′Kieran Green · Goal (assist: Jayden Sweeney)
  14. 86′Shaun McWilliams · Substitution (off: K. Otchere)
  15. 86′Joseph Tomlinson · Substitution (off: James Wilson)
  16. 90+5′Stephen John Cotterill · Red card

Match statistics: Cheltenham v Grimsby

Statistic Cheltenham Grimsby
Possession 42% 58%
Shots on target 4 5
Total shots 8 12
Shots off target 4 4
Blocked shots 0 3
Corners 3 7
Fouls 8 10
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 1 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 2
Passes 340 474

Line-ups: Cheltenham v Grimsby

Cheltenham 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 J. Tomkinson 5.5
  2. 4 J. Tomlinson 6.4
  3. 5 R. Cundy 6.0
  4. 7 B. Stevenson 6.3
  5. 8 C. McCann 7.2
  6. 17 S. McWilliams 6.1
  7. 18 A. Weimann 7.2
  8. 19 J. Evans 6.8
  9. 23 W. Stanway 6.0
  10. 25 P. Sweeney 6.2
  11. 26 J. Shipley 5.8
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 J. Day
  2. 6 J. Wilson 6.1
  3. 9 K. Otchere 6.4
  4. 11 J. Bickerstaff 6.8
  5. 21 G. Nurse 5.9
  6. 33 F. Willcox 5.7
  7. 35 M. Barber

Grimsby 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 M. Kacurri 6.6
  2. 3 J. Sweeney 6.7
  3. 4 K. Green 6.5
  4. 5 H. Rodgers 6.5
  5. 8 Cian Doyle 6.0
  6. 9 Iwan Morgan 6.3
  7. 10 S. Finch 6.4
  8. 15 G. Turi 6.7
  9. 17 C. McJannet 6.8
  10. 30 C. Vernam 6.1
  11. 42 D. Harrington 6.2
Substitutes (7)
  1. 7 J. Walker
  2. 11 Ryley Reynolds 6.0
  3. 12 J. Foulkes
  4. 28 F. Cartwright 6.3
  5. 29 M. Shelton 7.0
  6. 39 A. Cook 6.1
  7. 41 S. Auton

Form and head-to-head: Cheltenham v Grimsby

Cheltenham

WWDLW

Grimsby

WDDDW

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Cheltenham v Grimsby

S. Cotterill
CheltenhamManagerS. Cotterill
D. Artell
GrimsbyManagerD. ArtellGibraltar

Match information: Cheltenham v Grimsby

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 5