Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Swindon Town v Cheltenham in English League Two ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Swindon Town at 39.9% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Swindon Town X 2 · Cheltenham Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.0% 29.9% 25.1% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 39.9% 24.2% 35.9% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Swindon Town
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.92 on a Swindon Town win, 3.44 on the draw and 3.80 on a Cheltenham win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Swindon Town win 1.92 2.00 Dafabet 52.1% 39.9%
Draw 3.44 3.65 10Bet 29.1% 24.2%
Cheltenham win 3.80 4.50 10Bet 26.3% 35.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.84 1.90 Pinnacle 54.3% 56.2%
Under 2.5 goals 1.91 1.95 10Bet 52.4% 43.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.69 1.71 Marathonbet 59.2% 57.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.04 2.20 Betfair 49% 42.4%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

  1. 4′M. Virtue-Thick · Yellow card
  2. 17′A. Drinan · Goal (assist: A. Munda)

Match statistics: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Statistic Swindon Town Cheltenham
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 0 0
Total shots 0 1
Shots off target 0 1
Blocked shots 0 0
Fouls 1 0
Yellow cards 1 0
Passes 15 23
Pass accuracy 60% 65%

Line-ups: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Swindon Town 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Connor Ripley
  2. 2 Mitchell Clark
  3. 5 Stephan Negru
  4. 8 Ollie Clarke
  5. 17 Ryan Tafazolli
  6. 20 Ben Middlemas
  7. 22 Jaylan Pearman
  8. 23 Aaron Drinan
  9. 24 Matthew Virtue-Thick
  10. 27 Anthony Munda
  11. 34 Billy Kirkman
Substitutes (7)
  1. 7 Tom Nichols
  2. 12 Lewis Ward
  3. 18 James Debayo
  4. 21 Kaelan Majekodunmi
  5. 28 Ollie Palmer
  6. 38 Lucas Griffiths-Brown
  7. 39 Louis Millard

Cheltenham 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Jonathan Tomkinson
  2. 4 Joseph Tomlinson
  3. 5 Robbie Cundy
  4. 7 Ben Stevenson
  5. 8 Charlie McCann
  6. 9 Kirsten Otchere
  7. 19 Jake Evans
  8. 21 George Nurse
  9. 23 Wyll Stanway
  10. 25 Pierce Sweeney
  11. 26 Jordan Shipley
Substitutes (6)
  1. 1 Joe Day
  2. 11 Jake Bickerstaff
  3. 14 Ryan Broom
  4. 18 Andreas Weimann
  5. 33 Freddie Willcox
  6. 35 Mark Barber

Form and head-to-head: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Swindon Town

LWWLD

Cheltenham

WDWDW

English League Two standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Scott Holloway Ian
Swindon TownManagerScott Holloway Ian
S. Cotterill
CheltenhamManagerS. Cotterill

Match information: Swindon Town v Cheltenham

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 2