Eritrea v South Africa

Eritrea v South Africa in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers ended 0:5. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Eritrea v South Africa

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Eritrea at 41.7% - the match finished 0:5, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Eritrea X 2 · South Africa Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 46.5% 28.1% 25.4% Home win · Eritrea ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.7% 25.3% 33.0% Home win · Eritrea ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Eritrea ✘ Missed
Final score 0:5 Away win · South Africa
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 9.45 on a Eritrea win, 5.46 on the draw and 1.25 on a South Africa win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Eritrea win 9.45 10.00 Betfair 10.6% 41.7%
Draw 5.46 5.75 BetVictor 18.3% 25.3%
South Africa win 1.25 1.28 Betano 80% 33%
Over 2.5 goals 1.47 1.50 Bet365 68% 50%
Under 2.5 goals 2.47 2.55 Betfair 40.5% 50%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.90 1.95 William Hill 52.6% 49.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.81 1.83 BetVictor 55.2% 50.9%
Updated: 30.09.2026 13:36 · Average odds across 8 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Eritrea v South Africa

  1. 12′Bathusi Aubaas · Substitution (off: B. Poggenpoel)
  2. 19′Relebohile Mofokeng · Goal (assist: Oswin Appollis)
  3. 33′Olwethu Makhanya · Yellow card
  4. 45+1′Relebohile Mofokeng · Goal (assist: Samukele Kabini)
  5. 45+2′N. Embaye · Substitution (off: Esrom Yohannes)
  6. 52′Sphephelo Sithole · Goal
  7. 58′Filimon Gerezgiher · Substitution (off: Yonatan Sebhatu)
  8. 58′Jonas Idris Ibrahim · Substitution (off: Maill Lundgren)
  9. 63′Iqraam Rayners · Goal (assist: Oswin Appollis)
  10. 74′Iqraam Rayners · Substitution (off: Cassius Mailula)
  11. 74′Olwethu Makhanya · Substitution (off: Lebone Seema)
  12. 74′Thapelo Maseko · Substitution (off: Luther Singh)
  13. 76′Ablelom Teklezgi · Substitution (off: Yonael Yonas)
  14. 77′Nahom Girmai · Substitution (off: Awed Issac Abeselom)
  15. 79′Sphephelo Sithole · Substitution (off: Themba Zwane)
  16. 90+4′Luther Singh · Goal (assist: Oswin Appollis)

Match statistics: Eritrea v South Africa

Statistic Eritrea South Africa
Possession 36% 64%
Shots on target 4 9
Total shots 11 21
Shots off target 6 8
Blocked shots 1 4
Corners 6 8
Fouls 15 9
Offsides 2 9
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 4
Passes 296 657

Line-ups: Eritrea v South Africa

Eritrea 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 7 F. Gerezgiher 5.8
  2. 9 T. Tekie 5.9
  3. 10 A. Sulieman 6.4
  4. 14 Namrud Embaye 5.7
  5. 16 Hennos Asmelash 6.0
  6. 20 N. Girmai Netabay 5.2
Substitutes (4)
  1. 23 I. Lundgren 6.7
  2. 26 A. Alemseged
  3. 29 N. Gebrezgi
  4. 31 Y. Sebhatu 5.7

South Africa 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 R. Williams 7.5
  2. 7 O. Appollis 8.6
  3. 10 R. Mofokeng 9.8
  4. 12 T. Maseko 7.2
  5. 13 S. Sithole 8.2
  6. 15 I. Rayners 8.2
  7. 18 S. Kabini 7.5
  8. 21 I. Okon 7.6
  9. 24 O. Makhanya 7.1
  10. 25 K. Sebelebele 7.9
  11. 30 B. Aubaas 6.8
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 T. Matuludi
  2. 3 K. Ndamane
  3. 5 L. Seema 7.0
  4. 9 Y. Mbuthuma
  5. 11 T. Zwane 7.2
  6. 14 F. Basadien
  7. 16 S. Chaine
  8. 17 L. Singh 6.6
  9. 20 B. Poggenpoel 7.3
  10. 22 R. Goss
  11. 27 C. Mailula 6.5
  12. 28 T. Morena

Form and head-to-head: Eritrea v South Africa

Eritrea

DWW

South Africa

WWLWD

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +5 4 WD
2 Malawi 1 1 0 0 +1 3 W
3 Angola 1 0 1 0 0 1 D
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 -6 0 LL
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 -4 0 LL
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 +6 6 WW
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 -5 1 LD
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Congo DR 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 +1 3 LW
4 Central African Republic 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 -1 3 WL
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 0 3 LW
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 0 2 DD
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 -1 1 LD
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 +2 4 DW
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 0 3 WL
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 -1 3 LW
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 -2 0 LL
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 +3 6 WW
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 -3 0 LL
1 Guinea-Bissau 2 2 0 0 +5 6 WW
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3 LW
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 -2 1 DL
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 -1 1 DL

Match information: Eritrea v South Africa

Kick-off
·
Competition
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Round
Group Stage – 2
City
Cairo
Surface
artificial turf
Capacity
35,000