FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano in La Liga ended 5:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · FC Barcelona at 48.9% - the match finished 5:2, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · FC Barcelona
X
2 · Rayo Vallecano
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
55.1%
25.4%
19.5%
Home win · FC Barcelona
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
48.9%
24.9%
26.2%
Home win · FC Barcelona
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · FC Barcelona
✔ Correct
Final score
5:2
Home win · FC Barcelona
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.10 on a FC Barcelona win, 10.68 on the draw and 22.71 on a Rayo Vallecano win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
FC Barcelona win
1.10
1.14Betano
90.9%
48.9%
Draw
10.68
12.00BetVictor
9.4%
24.9%
Rayo Vallecano win
22.71
26.00Marathonbet
4.4%
26.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.24
1.34Pinnacle
80.6%
56.1%
Under 2.5 goals
3.94
4.50BetVictor
25.4%
43.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
2.02
2.10Betano
49.5%
51.5%
Both teams to score - No
1.73
1.80Betfair
57.8%
48.5%
Updated: 31.08.2026 16:16 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
12′⚽S. Camello · Goal (assist: A. Garcia)
19′⚽Raphinha · Goal (assist: X. Espart)
21′⚽Lamine Yamal · Goal (assist: M. Bernal)
32′🔄J. Vertrouwd · Substitution (off: A. Pedrosa)
51′⚽F. Lejeune · Own goal
57′🔄G. Bouare · Substitution (off: P. Diaz)
58′🔄J. de Frutos · Substitution (off: F. Perez)
59′⚽S. Camello · Goal (assist: U. Lopez)
64′🔄D. Olmo · Substitution (off: Fermin)
64′🔄M. Bernal · Substitution (off: Rodri)
71′⚽Raphinha · Goal (assist: A. Gordon)
75′🔄S. Camello · Substitution (off: Alemao)
75′🔄U. Lopez · Substitution (off: R. Nteka)
78′🔄Pedri · Substitution (off: J. Cancelo)
78′🔄A. Gordon · Substitution (off: K. Adeyemi)
86′🔄Raphinha · Substitution (off: H. Abdelkarim)
90′🟨A. Pedrosa · Yellow card
90′⚽Lamine Yamal · Goal (assist: K. Adeyemi)
Match statistics: FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
Statistic
FC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Possession
70%
30%
Shots on target
9
4
Total shots
26
9
Shots off target
10
3
Blocked shots
7
2
Corners
9
5
Fouls
4
10
Offsides
3
4
Yellow cards
0
1
Saves
3
5
Passes
642
264
Pass accuracy
90%
73%
Line-ups: FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
FC Barcelona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Joan García 6.5
5 Pau Cubarsí 8.0
8 Pedri 6.9
10 Lamine Yamal 9.9
11 Raphinha 9.3
12 Xavi Espart 6.9
15 Andreas Christensen 6.9
17 Anthony Gordon 6.9
20 Dani Olmo 7.0
22 Marc Bernal 7.2
23 Jules Koundé 6.5
Substitutes (11)
2 João Cancelo 6.3
3 Alejandro Balde
7 Fermín López 7.2
13 Wojciech Szczęsny
14 Karim Adeyemi 6.3
16 Rodri 6.9
18 Gerard Martín
24 Eric García
28 Brian Fariñas
29 Hamza Abdelkarim
31 Eder Aller
Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Dani Cárdenas 5.9
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss 5.9
8 Unai López 6.6
10 Sergio Camello 8.3
18 Álvaro García 6.2
19 Jorge de Frutos 6.2
20 Iván Balliu 5.9
23 Óscar Valentín 6.9
24 Florian Lejeune 5.9
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd 6.2
36 Gnangoro Bouaré 6.5
Substitutes (11)
2 Andrei Rațiu
4 Pedro Díaz 6.3
9 Alemão 6.3
11 Randy Nteka 6.2
14 Giorgi Tsitaishvili
17 Adrià Pedrosa 6.5
21 Fran Pérez 6.6
22 Pelayo Fernández
26 Marco de las Sias
30 Adrián Molina
31 Marco Román
Form and head-to-head: FC Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano
