FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga ended 5:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · FC Bayern München at 45.8% - the match finished 5:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · FC Bayern München
X
2 · VfB Stuttgart
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
64.8%
19.3%
15.9%
Home win · FC Bayern München
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
45.8%
20.6%
33.6%
Home win · FC Bayern München
✔ Correct
Data Providers
50.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Home win · FC Bayern München
✔ Correct
Final score
5:1
Home win · FC Bayern München
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.22 on a FC Bayern München win, 7.34 on the draw and 10.22 on a VfB Stuttgart win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
FC Bayern München win
1.22
1.261xBet
82%
45.8%
Draw
7.34
8.00Dafabet
13.6%
20.6%
VfB Stuttgart win
10.22
12.00Betfair
9.8%
33.6%
Over 2.5 goals
1.17
1.2010Bet
85.5%
78.1%
Under 2.5 goals
4.78
5.25BetVictor
20.9%
21.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.45
1.5010Bet
69%
69.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.60
2.80Betfair
38.5%
30.9%
Updated: 28.08.2026 15:59 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart
21′⚽D. Upamecano · Goal (assist: J. Kimmich)
52′⚽J. Vagnoman · Goal
55′⚽M. Olise · Goal (assist: J. Kimmich)
57′⚽J. Vagnoman · Own goal
61′🔄N. Brown · Substitution (off: I. Saibari)
62′🟨J. Chabot · Yellow card
62′🔄T. Tomas · Substitution (off: J. Leweling)
63′🔄D. Pejcinovic · Substitution (off: E. Demirovic)
68′🟨F. Jeltsch · Yellow card
74′🔄A. Davies · Substitution (off: J. Stanisic)
74′🔄D. Undav · Substitution (off: L. Stergiou)
74′🔄J. Chabot · Substitution (off: B. El Khannouss)
81′🟨Kim Min-Jae · Yellow card
82′⚽A. Pavlovic · Goal (assist: I. Saibari)
84′🔄H. Kane · Substitution (off: L. Karl)
84′🔄Kim Min-Jae · Substitution (off: J. Tah)
84′🔄A. Pavlovic · Substitution (off: T. Bischof)
88′🔄A. Stiller · Substitution (off: C. Andres)
90+2′⚽L. Diaz · Goal (assist: I. Saibari)
90+3′🟨G. Promel · Yellow card
Match statistics: FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart
Statistic
FC Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
Possession
59%
41%
Shots on target
9
4
Total shots
21
11
Shots off target
6
3
Blocked shots
6
4
Corners
9
3
Fouls
10
17
Offsides
3
1
Yellow cards
1
3
Saves
3
5
Passes
548
368
Pass accuracy
82%
76%
Line-ups: FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart
FC Bayern München 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Manuel Neuer 7.5
2 Dayot Upamecano 8.0
3 Kim Min-jae 7.2
6 Joshua Kimmich 9.0
9 Harry Kane 7.0
11 Nathaniel Brown 6.3
14 Luis Díaz 7.7
17 Michael Olise 8.0
19 Alphonso Davies 7.5
27 Konrad Laimer 6.5
45 Aleksandar Pavlović 8.3
Substitutes (9)
4 Jonathan Tah 6.9
8 Tom Bischof 6.9
21 Hiroki Itō
22 Arijon Ibrahimović
34 Ismael Saibari 8.5
39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
40 Jonas Urbig
42 Lennart Karl 6.5
44 Josip Stanišić 6.6
VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1 Fabian Bredlow 7.9
3 Ramon Hendriks 6.2
4 Josha Vagnoman 7.2
6 Angelo Stiller 6.2
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt 7.3
8 Tiago Tomás 6.3
17 Dženan Pejčinović 6.2
21 Grischa Prömel 6.0
24 Jeff Chabot 6.2
26 Deniz Undav 6.0
29 Finn Jeltsch 6.5
Substitutes (9)
2 Ameen Al-Dakhil
9 Ermedin Demirović 6.3
11 Bilal El Khannouss 7.0
16 Atakan Karazor
18 Jamie Leweling 6.6
20 Leonidas Stergiou 6.0
27 Badredine Bouanani
30 Chema Andrés 6.3
33 Marius Funk
Form and head-to-head: FC Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart
