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VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
4:1
Full time
FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln in Bundesliga ended 4:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · VfB Stuttgart at 60.1% - the match finished 4:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · VfB Stuttgart X 2 · FC Köln Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 62.3% 20.6% 17.1% Home win · VfB Stuttgart ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 60.1% 16.3% 23.6% Home win · VfB Stuttgart ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · FC Köln ✘ Missed
Final score 4:1 Home win · VfB Stuttgart
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.49 on a VfB Stuttgart win, 4.85 on the draw and 5.49 on a FC Köln win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
VfB Stuttgart win 1.49 1.54 1xBet 67.1% 60.1%
Draw 4.85 5.18 1xBet 20.6% 16.3%
FC Köln win 5.49 6.10 Pinnacle 18.2% 23.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.36 1.38 Unibet 73.5% 71.1%
Under 2.5 goals 3.07 3.20 Bet365 32.6% 28.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.45 1.50 Unibet 69% 62.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.59 2.70 BetVictor 38.6% 37.5%
Updated: 04.09.2026 10:39 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

  1. 39′Bilal El Khannouss · Goal (assist: Josha Vagnoman)
  2. 41′Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · Yellow card
  3. 45′Paul Okon-Engstler · Substitution (off: Ellyes Skhiri)
  4. 45′Jan Thielmann · Substitution (off: Mikey Moore)
  5. 51′Maximilian Mittelstädt · Yellow card
  6. 60′Grischa Prömel · Goal (assist: Maximilian Mittelstädt)
  7. 70′Chris Führich · Substitution (off: Jamie Leweling)
  8. 70′Deniz Undav · Substitution (off: Ermedin Demirović)
  9. 75′Ragnar Ache · Substitution (off: Marius Bülter)
  10. 75′Linton Maina · Substitution (off: Reigan Heskey)
  11. 75′Ermedin Demirović · Goal (assist: Finn Jeltsch)
  12. 78′Bilal El Khannouss · Substitution (off: Leo Sauer)
  13. 78′Maximilian Mittelstädt · Substitution (off: Ramon Hendriks)
  14. 81′Marius Bülter · Goal
  15. 85′Tom Krauß · Yellow card
  16. 86′Alessio Castro-Montes · Yellow card
  17. 90′Tom Krauß · Substitution (off: Imad Rondić)
  18. 90′Josha Vagnoman · Goal
  19. 90+2′Angelo Stiller · Substitution (off: Yanik Spalt)

Match statistics: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

Statistic VfB Stuttgart FC Köln
Possession 58% 42%
Shots on target 8 5
Total shots 22 18
Shots off target 8 9
Blocked shots 6 4
Corners 10 8
Fouls 5 6
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 1 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 4
Passes 526 380

Line-ups: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 F. Bredlow 6.9
  2. 4 J. Vagnoman 8.4
  3. 6 A. Stiller 6.6
  4. 7 M. Mittelstädt 7.5
  5. 10 C. Führich 6.1
  6. 11 B. El Khannouss 8.0
  7. 17 D. Pejčinović 6.4
  8. 21 G. Prömel 8.2
  9. 24 J. Chabot 7.2
  10. 26 D. Undav 6.5
  11. 29 Finn Jeltsch 7.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 A. Al Dakhil
  2. 3 R. Hendriks 6.0
  3. 9 E. Demirović 7.9
  4. 16 A. Karazor
  5. 18 J. Leweling 6.4
  6. 20 L. Stergiou
  7. 33 M. Funk
  8. 44 L. Sauer 6.6
  9. 47 Y. Spalt

FC Köln 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 M. Schwäbe 6.2
  2. 5 T. Krauß 6.1
  3. 8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 6.4
  4. 9 R. Ache 6.0
  5. 14 G. Mensah 6.2
  6. 17 A. Castro-Montes 5.6
  7. 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey 5.6
  8. 23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler 6.7
  9. 24 L. Lochoshvili 5.9
  10. 29 J. Thielmann 6.6
  11. 37 L. Maina 6.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 J. Schmied
  2. 3 B. Sosa
  3. 6 E. Skhiri 6.3
  4. 11 Reigan Heskey 6.3
  5. 15 I. Rondić
  6. 20 R. Zieler
  7. 30 M. Bülter 6.5
  8. 33 R. van den Berg
  9. 47 M. Moore 7.2

Form and head-to-head: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart

LWLWD

FC Köln

DWWLL

Bundesliga standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89 WWWWWWWWWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73 WDLWWWWDWD
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65 WWLWLWDLLW
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62 WDWWDWDWWW
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61 WWLWDDLLLD
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59 WLLWWLLWWD
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47 WWDLWLDLWL
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44 WDWWDLDDLD
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43 DWWLLLDDLD
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40 WWLDDDWWWL
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39 WLLWDLWLDD
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38 LLWLDDLLWW
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38 WLDLLDLDDW
14 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32 DLLDLWDLWL
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32 WLLWDWDWLW
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29 LLWLWLLDDD
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26 WLDLDLLWWL
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26 DLLWWWLLLD

Managers: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

S. Hoeneß
VfB StuttgartManagerS. Hoeneß

Match information: VfB Stuttgart v FC Köln

Kick-off
·
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
2
Venue
MHPArena
City
Stuttgart
Surface
grass
Capacity
60,449